Six keys to the results of the first round of the French presidential election

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The duel between Macron and Le Pen, abstention, Ukraine, the left and environmentalism, the voting slogans and the extremes are the aspects to consider.

These are the keys to the results of the first round of this Sunday’s French elections and their consequences for the second roundApr 24:

duel

macron and Le Pen repeat their 2017 duel in the second round, but in completely different circumstances. The two are much closer in the polls and the outgoing president will have to sweat for reelection.

abstinence

The first-round abstention was the highest since 2002. The two candidates’ ability to mobilize voters who did not vote for them (or who loathe their rival) will be a deciding factor.

Ukraine

Le Pen has thus far managed to dodge her long string of praises to Vladimir Putin and the loan her party had received from Russian banks. Will he be able to continue to avoid old videos and interviews that have already reappeared in which he claimed Putin was his model?

Left

The left-wing candidates and the ecologist added 31.92%. The orientation of all those votes could be important in the second round. Their voters must choose between Macron’s liberal technocracy, Le Pen’s far-right populist (with many nods to the working class) or resigned to not participating.

slogans

The slogans, or the absence thereof, that their followers de defeated candidates (from the extreme right to the extreme left) can influence the outcome of the second round.

extremes

The far right has a total of 32%, almost a third of the votes. In total, the parties in the most extreme and radical parts of the political arc add up to 58.13%. The arc that goes from center right to center left (including environmentalists and rural activists) is a minority in France, remaining 41.87%.


Source: EITB

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