Voting intention research for municipal elections

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The PNV would improve results in the capitals of the BAC and EH Bildu would overtake the PSE-EE in Bilbao and Vitoria-Gasteiz. On the other hand, PSN would again have a hand in decanting the mayor of Pamplona towards regionalists or abertzales.

Euskaraz irakurri: EAJk irabaziko luke Bilbon, Gasteizen et Donostian, et UPNk et EH Bilduk jokoan izango lukete Iruñea

The PNV would win again in the municipal elections of Vitoria-Gasteiz, Bilbao and Donostia-San Sebastián and would keep the three mayors if the agreements of the last legislature were reissued, according to the macro survey EITB focus. In Pamplona, ​​on the other hand, PSN would again hold the key to awarding the baton to UPN or EH Bildu.

EITB Focus, the largest survey published in the Basque Country with more than 6,600 interviews in the Basque Autonomous Community and 1,200 in Navarre, confirms for the local elections the trends outlined yesterday by the surveys for the General Meetings.

So the GDP would strengthen its municipal power in the capitals, while retaining the mayors of other major cities such as getxo, Basauri, Barakaldo And Jew.

For his part, EH Bildu would overtake the Socialist Party as the second force in Bilbao and Vitoria-Gasteiz, would receive the most votes in toulouse And Salvatierra/Agurainand could even get the Pamplona city council back if it reached an agreement with the PSN.

PDF: EITB FOCUS, complete overview of 11 municipalities in the Basque Country

PDF: EITB FOCUS, opinion poll on voting intentions in Pamplona

He PSE-EEinstead it would decline some votes in the capitals and more outspoken in some of its historic fiefdoms, but it would remain the first force in I run And eibar.

huddle together, a coalition formed by Podemos Euskadi, Ezker Anitza-IU, Berdeak Equo and Alianza Verde, would lose a councilor in Donostia-San Sebastián but keep those of Bilbao and Vitoria-Gasteiz. In turn, Podemos, which presents itself in Pamplona in a coalition with Izquierda-Ezkerra, would break into the Constitution with two representatives.

finally, the PP it would repeat results in the capital of Álava, but it would drop in Bilbao and Donostia-San Sebastián, and vox would not gain representation in any of the major localities analyzed in this EITB Focus.

Capitals

Per capital letter, the largest unknown would be located at Pamplona/Irunawhere UPN would be the force with the most votes, but the PSN could opt for the mayor’s office towards the regionalist formation or EH Bildu.

In Vitoria-GasteizBeatriz Artolazabal (PNV) would improve the results of the previous mayor, his fellow party member Gorka Urtaran.

In BilbaoJuan Mari Aburto (PNV) would again be on the verge of an absolute majority.

And finally, Eneko Goia (PNV) would also aspire to a third term Donostia-San Sebastian with another councillor.

Methodology

6,649 people living in the BAC were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the municipal and regional elections on May 28 (1,543 in Álava, 2,483 in Bizkaia and 2,623 in Gipuzkoa). In Navarre, 1,204 people participated.

Random sample stratified by historical territory, description, municipality, gender and age.

The fieldwork was carried out from February 27 to March 17 in the CAV and from February 22 to 27 in Navarra.

For more complete information on confidence level, margin of error, and other statistical aspects, please refer to the study’s PDF.

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Source: EITB

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