The Abertzale coalition would be the first force in Álava and Gipuzkoa, and the Yeltzales would win in Bizkaia. PSE-EE would get 11 representatives, PP 6, Sumar 2, Elkarrekin Podemos 1 and Vox 1.
PNV and EH Bildu they would be tied at 27 seats in the next elections for the Basque Parliament, according to the latest sociometer on voting intentions published by the Basque government. EH Bildu would win in the areas of Álava and Gipuzkoa and PNV in Bizkaia. PSE-EE would improve resultswhile Elkarrekin Podemos and Sumar would lose representation. The first would get one representative, the second two. PP and Vox would retain the same number of seats.
In terms of vote estimates, the PNV would be the first political force with 34.6% of the votes. EH Bildu would receive 32.4% of the votes. PSE-EE would get 14.2% of the votes, PP 7.7% and Vox 2.5%. Elkarrekin Podemos and Sumar would lose their representation.
PNV and PSE-EE could re-establish the current coalition government as they would once again win an absolute majority. The decision of Elkarrekin Podemos and Sumar not to appear in the elections as a coalition would dilute the vote. The purple would only get one representative.
It is expected that the participation reaches 61%10 points more than four years ago.
This would be the result per territory:
– Alava: EH Bildu (29.7% and 8 seats), PNV (25.4% and 7 seats), PSE-EE (18.1% and 5 seats), PP (14.1% and 3 seats), Vox ( 4.2% and 1 seat) and Sumar (3.8% and 1 seat). The abstention rate would be 38.5%.
– Bizkaia: PNV (38.6% and 11 seats), EH Bildu (29% and 8 seats), PSE-EE (13.9% and 3 seats), PP (7.4% and 2 seats) and Elkarrekin Podemos (3 .8% and 1 seat). The abstention rate would be 39%.
– Gipuzkoa: EH Bildu (39.1% and 11 seats), PNV (32.2% and 9 seats), PSE-EE (13% and 3 seats), PP (5.3% and 1 seat) and Sumar (3, 5% and 1 seat). The abstention rate would be 39.5%.
In Álava, as far as the results of the 2020 elections are concerned, EH Bildu would win two representatives, the same ones that PNV would lose. PSE-EE and PP would win one and Vox would keep the seat it has. Elkarrekin Podemos would lose two and get no representation, and Sumar would get one.
In Bizkaia, PNV would lose one seat and EH Bildu would gain two more. PSE-EE and PP would keep their representation and Elkarrekin Podemos would lose one.
In Gipuzkoa EH Bildu would win two parliamentarians. PNV would lose one and PSE-EE and PP would retain their representation. Elkarrekin Podemos would lose two and get no representation, and Sumar would get one.
Methodology
tion gathering took place between January 30 and February 2, 2024 through an individual computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI), using a structured and closed questionnaire, carried out with a representative sample of the population of the Autonomous Community of the Basque Country.
The sample, aimed at a population aged 18 years and over, was distributed as follows: 730 people in Álava, 1,315 in Bizkaia and 985 in Gipuzkoa, for a total of 3,030 people interviewed.
Source: EITB
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
