Electric trucks won’t be competitive until 2025

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In Spain, there is a big gap between current policies and those that would be sufficient for the total decarbonisation of road transport,” confirms the environmental association Transport & Environment, which calls for the introduction of fast charging infrastructure for electric trucks. According to their figures, this sector is responsible for 9.8% of national CO2 emissions and competing electric models will hit the market in the middle of the decade and hydrogen models towards the end, according to their total cost of ownership (TCO).

Pure electric vans and trucks and lorries prepared to use electric roads will not be competitive until 2025 compared to internal combustion engine vehicles, while in the case of fuel cell vehicles, competitiveness would not be achieved until 2030, according to an analysis conducted by Cambridge Econometrics and presented by the European Federation of Transport and Environment (Transport & Environment) in collaboration with the Department of Transport, Mobility and Urban Agenda.

While the report recognizes that a rapid transition to powertrains based on zero-emission technologies can “very significantly” reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from road freight transport, to ensure that this sector meets the target of climate neutrality in 2050 will not be enough to end the sale of combustion engine vans by 2035 and trucks with this technology by 2040, but it will be necessary to push these dates forward or take additional measures aimed at expected reduction in the use of this type of polluting vehicle. [PINCHA
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At present, the analysis suggests to accelerate the roll-out of high-performance charging infrastructure for zero-emission trucks and to start the planning process for this infrastructure “immediately” so as not to encounter bottlenecks in the deployment of charging points. of this decade.

“It will not be possible to fully decarbonise freight transport without committing to zero-emission technologies in trucks and vans,” warns Carlos Bravo, head of freight policy at T&E.

Similarly, Bravo regrets that in Spain there is a large gap between current policies and those that would be sufficient to provide the sector with a coherent trajectory to achieve this objective.

In fact, the report states that in Spain, the transport sector is the sector that contributes the most to greenhouse gas emissions (29.1% of the total in 2019, according to official data), which can be attributed to the transport of goods over the away. % of the national total. That’s why Spain would not achieve full decarbonisation of road freight transport by 2050 with current policies, the study said.

The Cambridge Econometrics report highlights that conventional combustion engine vehicles will become less and less competitive over their lifetime compared to their electric equivalents, with the likely result that carriers will bet less and less on them.

The greatest uncertainty on its part in order to determine any progress over time of the results of the study with regard to the different scenarios is the greater or lesser speed at which the technologies (batteries, electric road systems and fuel cells) and fuels (green hydrogen) without CO2 emissions could decrease in costs, as well as the evolution of the expected increase in the cost of fossil fuels (diesel, petrol, natural gas), now caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, used by vehicles with an internal combustion engine.

Therefore, T&E underlines that adequate regulation at European and state level is “critical” to make rapid and safe progress towards the decarbonisation of road freight transport.

On this point, Carlos Bravo has defended that the discussion of the current draft law on sustainable mobility in Spain opens up “a wide range of possibilities for improvement in this area”.

Finally, the federation has proposed to set an ambitious interim CO2 target of at least 30% by 2027 and to “significantly increase” the CO2 reduction target for 2030, in order to achieve a significant reduction in emissions worldwide by then. to ensure. the range of zero-emission vehicles will already be expanded in the 2020s.

Source: La Verdad

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