Polls show that both candidates are closer than ever, so it is important to understand the key factors that will determine who the electorate will vote for.
This Tuesday it will be decided who will preside over the White House of the United States: the republican Donald Trump or the Democrat Kamala Harris. Polls show that both candidates have more coordinated than ever, so it’s important to get the factors That will determine who the electorate will vote for. here they are some keys that could determine the outcome.
Economy
The economy is the issue that generates the most interest among American voters, and the fact is that the 81% acknowledges that this is an aspect that will be taken into account when casting your vote, thus Pew Research Center. Both candidates know this, which is why it has been a central part of their campaign, along with other issues such as abortion and immigration.
This same research ensures that More than half of the electorate believes Trump could manage the economy better than his Democratic opponent, so if citizens have a negative perception of the economy, this could benefit the Republican candidate, who could claim that he is able to “fix” the economy. inflationary situation dragged by the Democratic administration.
In the meantime, Harrishas positioned itself as the middle class candidateand their desire is to reduce the prices of housing, food and medicine.
Social rights and abortion
After the Supreme Court of the United States in 2022 made the historic ruling known as “Roe v. Wade”which guaranteed the right to abortion in the country since 1973 is one of the central themes of the political debate.
trump He managed to overturn that ruling by appointing a majority of conservative judges to the highest US court during his presidency (2017-2021); However, during the campaign tried to moderate his speechand that could lead to discontent among conservative women who support a total ban on abortion. Likewise, it wouldn’t please Republican voters, who have more flexible positions on the issue.
For his part, Harris and the Democrats have positioned themselves in favor of reproductive rightswhich could mobilize women in particular.
Immigration and security
Another important topic is immigration. More than 45 million migrants They live in the country and according to surveys around 50% of the electorate believe this figure should be reduced. Republicans maintain a tough stance on immigration, and trumphas proposed, among other things the largest deportation of undocumented immigrants of the country’s history.
The administration democrat of Biden tried one immigration reformin which he tried to set aside many of the measures imposed by Trump to stop immigration. However, during this mandate, the images of ‘caravans’ of migrants crossing the southern border have multiplied, supporting the Republican discourse that ignores a ‘lack of control’ over the borders and the consequences of this immigration ‘without control’, such as if the supposed “increase” of the crime.
Polarization
The Trump’s fan base is very loyalregardless of the scandals or trials that surround him. These voters feel represented by his anti-establishment rhetoric and opposition to the political elite, so it’s possible he has secured this mass of voters.
Meanwhile, Harris could benefit from the “anti-Trump” voterswithout necessarily being sympathetic to the Democrats, as they would only be trying to prevent the Republican candidate’s return to the White House.
The battle on social networks
Along the same lines, Trump has proven to be one master in his ability to mobilize his followers through social networks, and although he is blocked on some platforms, he remains one of the dominant figures in certain alternative media, which reflect all his misinformation. Harris, for his part, doesn’t have that background and needs one clear and viral message on networks to attract and confront their voters constant attacks on her by his opponent.
Regulation of weapons
United States does the land of weaponsand this is another of the issues that could tip the balance towards one candidate or the other. Traditionally, Democrats have been more supportive of gun restrictions than Republicans, but during the campaign Harris has avoided at all costs portraying herself as an anti-gun candidate to connect with independent and moderate Republican voters.
This way, while Trump says he is the National Rifle Association’s “best friend.” and has emerged as the staunch defender of the Second Amendment to the Constitution, which enshrines the right to bear arms, Harris is between two waters; This aims to show that it respects the right to bear arms enshrined in the Constitution, but at the same time wants to solve one of the major problems of the country that has left the country. more than 47,000 deaths in 2023.
War and peace
Trump showed in the campaign that he is a president “guarantor of peace” and he has even gone so far as to say that if Vladimir Putin had remained in office for four more years, he would not have dared to invade Ukraine, otherwise the current escalation of violence in the Middle East would not have occurred. What both candidates agree on is making it clear that Israel is the most important ally in this region.
In Europe, both in the sphere of the European Union and NATO, the event is being closely watched in anticipation of what might happen. For the vast majority of governments, Harris symbolizes the continuity of Biden’s policieswhile Trump has already shown that he is willing to apply more political pressureeconomic or defense issues on its theoretical European allies.
Source: EITB
I’m Wayne Wickman, a professional journalist and author for Today Times Live. My specialty is covering global news and current events, offering readers a unique perspective on the world’s most pressing issues. I’m passionate about storytelling and helping people stay informed on the goings-on of our planet.
