Right-wing parties have better days ahead. Although they are rising in the polls, they are unlikely to sit in the next government. And they could also crumble in the presidential election because of the fragmentation. It’s a dilemma.
Actually, the PVV could pop the champagne cork, because in the latest polls – who would have thought! – they consistently match the long unattainable ÖVP for second place. FPÖ leader Herbert Kickl’s rabid opposition course seems to be paying off. His “me versus everyone” polarization seems to work quite well.
Nobody wants to be with Kickl . along
Unfortunately, this is exactly where the blemish on the success of the blue one lies. Your hard course has led not only to a solid comeback, but also to the fact that none of the other parties would want a Herbert Kickl. As beautiful as the poll numbers are, what good is it if you can’t help rule?
Red-green NEOS is becoming more likely
With the outsider positioning of the FPÖ and the demotion of the centre-right ÖVP, a traffic light coalition of SPÖ, Greens and NEOS is not only becoming more popular with the population, but also strategically more likely. Of course, everything could change again for the next regular election in 2024 – if it stays that way at all. However, it’s unlikely that anyone would suddenly want to deal with the rumbling Herbert Kickl.
The right also stands empty-handed in the federal presidential elections
The federal presidential election also poses a dilemma for right-wing Austrians, as there are four promising candidates who can fish across this voter spectrum. That is good in terms of democratic policy, but strategically difficult for the right, because more choices also means more distribution of votes. This makes it almost impossible to get close to the candidate with a starting advantage, Alexander Van der Bellen, and here too the right probably gets nothing.
Rule or oppose?
In any case, the right-wing Austrians will have to ask themselves whether at some point they really want to rule and help shape things again or whether they are content with the opposition role after all. For the second, the current strategy is sufficient, for the first, a completely new one is needed. Or a new president.
Source: Krone

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