The PP is waiting to see if the recount of foreign votes will allow them to add another three seats, one in Madrid they would take from the PSOE, another in Girona they would beat from Junts and one final seat in Cantabria from Vox.
Some seats could remain on the line after adding the ballots of residents abroad, the so-called CERA vote, which brings together 2,325,310 registered voters on March 1, 196,751 more than nearly four years ago.
In this way, the final results of the general election await the CERA vote, which will start counting from this Friday.
The Provincial Electoral Offices will then finalize the general scrutiny of the votes by taking the ballots that may have been cast by the 2.3 million citizens of the Spanish state living in other countries and registered in the Census of Absent Residents Abroad (CERA).
This general election was the first in which the vote requestedthe suffrage modality applied to citizens living abroad between 2011 and 2022, which forced voters to “beg” for their vote and led to a decline in participation during this period.
That is why the arrival of the CERA vote is crucial, especially if participation has increased.
Some PP sources claim it could change a seat Madrid, Cantabria and Girona. The PP is thus waiting to see if the recount of the foreign votes, the so-called CERA vote, can allow them to add another three seats to their 136 deputies, one in Madrid that they would take over from the PSOE, another in Girona that they would defeat Junts and a final seat in Cantabria from Vox.
The number of votes of absent residents is clue so for the governability and the division of the blocs, because the PSOE could go back to 121 seats if the PP adds another one in Madrid and Junts loses one of its seven representatives.
Current seat distribution
With the current distribution, the PP (136) plus Vox (33) comes to 169, to which UPN (1) and the Canary Islands Coalition (1) can be added, which, however, struggles with Vox. This hypothetical and complex amount would reach 171 seats, while the PSOE (122) with its partners (31 from Sumar, 7 from ERC, 6 from EH Bildu, 5 from PNV and 1 from BNG) would add 172, one above the other bloc. Junts would hold the key to abstinence.
However, if the PP were to add Madrid’s seat, and counting on that hypothetical sum, it would be placed at 172 and the PSOE at 171. And if the popular ones could add that of Girona, the possible sum of this space could make 173 compared to 171, in that scenario the PSOE would need Junts’ yes and not just their abstention.
According to popular sources, the PP is still 1,700 votes away from a seat in Madrid to the PSOE, a community in which the population has obtained 40.51% of the vote and foreign votes are very numerous, with a total of 375,602 voters called to the polls. This is the most likely seat because in this autonomy the popular clearly prevail.
in cantabria, the PP would be 428 votes away from a Vox seat, although in this case the blocs wouldn’t move. In this community, there are 41,182 voters abroad.
Finally, the popular depend on 363 votes to remove a seat from Junts per Cataluña in Girona (Catalonia), where the PP currently has no representatives and the number of voters with the right to vote abroad reaches 23,993.
Source: EITB

I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.