IFDD researcher and political analyst Christoph Haselmayer and his Institute for Demoscopy and Data Analysis have once again asked the famous ‘Sunday question’. So if there were National Council elections next Sunday, the outcome would be as follows…
“The FPÖ is clearly number one with 28 percent. Behind them are the SPÖ and the ÖVP with 23 percent each. The NEOS would get eight percent, the Greens seven percent.” For the Greens, who received almost 14 percent in the 2019 National Council elections, just seven percent would currently be a huge drop. Haselmayer: “The talk about farts and grumbling halves the Greens. This makes them only as strong as Dominik Wlatzny, who would achieve seven percent with the Beer Party. The KPÖ is currently at three percent.” With the Greens, in addition to the complaints, you also notice the headwind that awaits them as a small government partner. What would be needed are new protagonists like Wlazny or rebel types.
Tripartite coalition completely unpopular
According to IFDD data, future three-party coalitions would be popular with the population in Austria. In any case, the formation of a government that must achieve a majority in the mandate will be slow. Haselmayer: “From 92 seats you have the majority. However, it makes sense to obtain 100, 101 or 102 mandates. Otherwise you are always vulnerable. So the frets can block anything. “Decisions cannot be made when someone is sick or going to the toilet.” But with the desired coalition variants you also see that the population becomes increasingly realistic as election day approaches.
Karawankenbär chooses green
Current data show a similar picture for the EU elections on June 9. Haselmayer: “The FPÖ becomes number one for the first time in the EU parliamentary elections. For us this is between 26 and 30 percent. The SPÖ easily overtakes the ÖVP in second place. The Greens are at eight percent in the EU elections. This means that the decline here is not as strong as in the National Council elections. As a Carinthian, I can say that the green electorate would even vote for the Karawank bear in the EU elections if only it were painted green.” Many green voters are currently in the political waiting room when it comes to the EU. Or, according to the IFDD-EU election forecast, they would go to the communists or the SPÖ.
“The FPÖ is clearly number one with 28 percent. Behind them are the SPÖ and the ÖVP with 23 percent each. The NEOS would get eight percent, the Greens seven percent.” For the Greens, who received almost 14 percent in the 2019 National Council elections, just seven percent would currently be a huge drop. Haselmayer: “The talk about farts and grumbling halves the Greens.
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Source: Krone
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
