Opinion polls show unanimous results: despite the anti-inflation package, the ÖVP is currently ten percent behind the SPÖ. To recover from this low point, the party would have to flee to the front.
Numbers don’t lie. Even if this sometimes takes fleeting forms in political polls, the latest surveys unanimously show that SPÖ is far ahead of the ÖVP at 31 percent (21). Almost on par with ex-coalition partner FPÖ – who would have thought that after Ibiza and under Kurz? The Greens are also getting weaker, in line with the Neos (see picture).
How does political scientist Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik view the developments? “In addition to inflation, corona and war, the ÖVP has to deal with a constant stream of negative messages. Also from the states. A lot of people are turning away.”
With 20 percent encouragement, it would probably just be the hardcore fans. The SPÖ takes advantage of the weakness and the calamities and currently scores, for the FPÖ 25 percent is also possible under Kickl.
escape forward
The green? “The fact that they also lose is due to the costs of the board,” says the expert. Remarkable: “Normally the small ones suffer more than the big ones in the coalition, here it is the other way around.” But the Greens were able to carry out some of their themes. In addition, they currently have a potential threat, also because red/pink/green would run out. Ennser-Jedenastik: “The Greens already showed they can play it when they saw Kurz.”
How does the ÖVP come out here? The party is programmatic and represents many majority positions. “It has 8,000 base units and associations all over Austria, from the JVP to the farmers’ association. That’s a force to build on. But you also have to mobilize them.” The ÖVP could flee to the front transparency and self-reflection Ennser-Jedenastik: “Nothing has happened so far.”
Source: Krone
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