Where will Fernando Alonso’s 33rd win go?

This is the question every Formula 1 fan is asking after the F1 Saudi Arabian GP: Can Fernando Alonso win any 2023 F1 World Cup race? And if so: What is the most favorable circuit for that to happen based on the characteristics of your Aston Martin AMR23 and taking into account Red Bull’s enormous potential?

The answer will have a track. But for now, it is important to study the initial situation. Red Bull has a superior car which proved to be a real plane in two circuits different from one another in Bahrain and Jeddah in the first two races. while, Aston Martin loses a bit in the ranking compared to Ferraribut was able to show great potential as the second best car in the race on two opposing tracks as sakhir and the one of Saudi Arabia, with more speed than Mercedes and the Italians on both tracks.

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A competitive car on many types of circuits

There are many doubts about what Aston Martin can do in Jeddah because in the first round in Bahrain it was very strong in managing the tires on a track with maximum wear, as well as in braking, in the rear, in traction and in slow that corner, but not so much in the fast corner and straight. But the best news for the Silverstone team is to see that, with a low-load aerodynamic kit, his car adapted well to Jeddah, and despite being a track with maximum speed in a straight line, with lots of fast cornering and little degradation (opposite Bahrain), his car started working again and he adapted like a charm, performing very well in a fast corner.

that’s it Aston Martin is confirmed, along with its current base carLooking forward to seeing how the cars develop as teams make improvements and understand their car better, giving the fight for the podium on most tracks in the World Championship.

Circuits buzzards and a lot of degradation, the ideals

It is necessary to know the real performance of everyone on a buzzard circuit and slow curves if possible Monaco or Hungary. there, the Aston Martin should work better as seen in these early dates, and perhaps those layouts are the most approachable red bull in search of success as 33 of Fernando Alonso.

At the moment, slow tracks like those already mentioned, or those with a lot of tire wear due to the good tire management they showed from the start, can be favorable. An ideal scenario would be Barcelona how big is the tire penalty. however, Red Bull also manage the tires very well and in Barcelona it will be strong. Besides, the recent announcement of the removal of the final chicane in Barcelona and the return of the last fast curves of the Circuit did not favor Fernando’s choices.

Another route where surprises can happen is in Imola, whenever Red Bull fails. If Alonso takes the lead as he did at the start of Bahrain, then he will widen and struggle to overtake his rivals, as he did in the memorable battle against Schumacher in 2005.

The same thing is happening in Hungary, where in 2021 it has already withstood the pressure of a Mercedes that is superior to its Alpine to defend the victory of his partner, Ocon. On narrow tracks, Alonso has more potential in his hands if he is at the front. But for this, we repeat: it is necessary for Red Bull to fail.

crazy races

Outside are the crazy appointments conditioned by rain or any other element that can change the natural order of the grid. In those days, just as Alonso could aim for the podium with an Alpine that was close to 8th to 12th, now, with a podium car, he could aim for victory.

A failure of Red Bull, which lives the tension in its box

If in the evolution of the cars, Aston Martin maintains its position ahead of Mercedes and Ferrari and continues to opt for the podium at any type of track throughout the year, Alonso’s option could come in any race that the Red fails Bull. The controversial and rare environment in the box of the Milton Keynes in between ‘Checo’ Pérez and Max Verstappen can help with. If the Mexican and Dutch meet on the track, it will be necessary to see if red bull He managed to stop his two pilots from fighting. Any relationship or problem between the two could open the door for Alonso to win 33.

The evolutionary struggle of cars

Aston Martin He said at the beginning of the course that he had a very well structured plan for the development of the car and it included what they wanted change “two thirds” of his car throughout this year. That should be an improvement. It remains to be seen whether those in the green government to develop more than Mercedes and Ferrarithat there are many more problems to start with, and also, you need to see if Aston Martin you can take advantage of the availability 37% more time allowed by the regulations to use the wind tunnel and its CFD simulation compared to Red Bull.

If they take advantage of this and improve more than Red Bull, that will translate into a narrowing of the gap that currently separates them. Being closer gives more optionsbut it seems that for now Alonso’s possible victory is more in the hands of Rlos than energy drinks and the mistakes they can make, reliability or their pilots.

Throughout the year, Red Bull is also likely to sanction engine swapsand perhaps in those appointments there are also options if the victory has not come before and Alonso starts from the first positions with Verstappen or Pérez with the need to return.