What must happen in Japan for Verstappen to get his first match ball at the next race in Qatar

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In the F1 Japanese GP, Max Verstappen has the option to leave the World Cup ready for a possible celebration in Qatar. The Dutch driver could get his first ‘match ball’ for the title at the next event in Qatar, where a sprint race will also be held.

Max Verstappen has a 151-point lead over ‘Checo’ Pérez with 7 races remaining. Once the Japanese GP is underway, there will only be a maximum of 180 points at stake over the last 6 events.: 26 for each race (25 for the winner and 1 for the fastest lap) and the points distributed to 3 sprint races on Saturday left (8 for the winner).

In Qatar, the weekend is a sprint format. That means, A maximum of 34 points (26+8) is at stake. So, on Max was enough to leave the Japanese F1 GP with the minimum advantage of 146 points (5 points less compared to Pérez than now) to already have his first choices in mathematics, albeit far.

Verstappen will start from the first position in Japan and is the big favourite. If he wins and adds the fastest lap this Sunday, regardless of what Pérez does, it will be enough for him to add 3 more points than ‘Checo’ in Qatar to become a three-time champion there. From that assumption, everything Pérez can add to Japan will make it harder for Max to celebrate his crown at the next event. Every place that ‘Checo’ can win by starting 5th at Suzuka could be crucial in prolonging his teammate’s wait.

Below are some of the possible combinations:

Verstappen wins in Japan and adds fastest lap:

25 + 1 points and Pérez is 2nd: he needs 21 points more in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 3rd: he will need 18 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 4th: He will need 15 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 5th: He will need 13 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 6th: He will need 11 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 7th: He will need 9 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 8th: He will need 7 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 9th: He will need 5 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez is 10th: He will need 4 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25+1 and Pérez, out of points: he will need 3 more points in Qatar

Verstappen wins in Japan without fastest lap:

25 p. and Pérez is 2nd: he needs 22 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 3rd: he will need 19 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 4th: He will need 16 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 5th: He will need 14 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 6th: He will need 12 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 7th: He will need 10 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 8th: He will need 8 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 9th: He will need 6 more points in Qatar than Pérez

25 and Pérez is 10th: He will need 5 more points in Qatar than Pérez

Win and Pérez out of points: he will need 4 more points in Qatar

Verstappen wins in Japan and fastest lap points for Pérez:

He wins and Pérez is second: He will need 23 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 3rd: He will need 20 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 4th: He will need 17 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 5th: He will need 15 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 6th: He will need 13 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 7th: He will need 11 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 8th: He will need 9 points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 9th: He will need 7 more points in Qatar than Pérez

He wins and Pérez is 10th: He will need 6 more points in Qatar than Pérez

Win and Pérez out of points: he will need 5 more points than Pérez in Qatar

Source: La Verdad

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