Manchester City and the ‘expected goal’

The height of a bad streak is having a 3-0 lead only to break it with a quarter of an hour left in regulation time and end up giving up a draw (3-3). That’s exactly what it is City of Manchester he is new Feyenoord and of course more than justifying Guardiola’s unfriendly face at the final whistle. The team led by the Catalan coach came into this rivalry with a chain of five defeats, a record that had never been seen in Pep’s successful career on the bench, and even if the sixth did not happen, the final draw was never stopped having more. than bitter taste. Especially considering that if he didn’t win the City of Manchester This is not because football is fickle (which sometimes it is), but because for some time now the rivals have lost respect for him and see in him the signs of weakness that used to be noticeable in their loss

There is a lot of talk about the reasons why the Mancunian team in this situation and the main one, beyond injuries or the configuration of a squad with a single ‘9’ in the figure of Erling Haalanddid he agree too much? Until this season City of Manchester It’s not the team that dominates and intimidates the opponent without them barely landing any punches. Far from what happened in the past, where a ‘citizen’ monologue was the norm, the group of Pep Guardiola He plays in fights that go beyond the exchange of punches.

He City of Manchester He continues to dominate ball possession, yes, but he struggles a lot when his opponent has the ball. They create dangerous situations with extraordinary ease. The proof of this is in the defeats against Bournemouth, Sports of Portugal, Brighton, Tottenham and Feyenoord he City of Manchester was also beaten in terms of the highly ranked ‘expected goals’ data (calculated based on the probability that each team’s offensive actions will end up scoring). In other words, this City of Manchester He concedes too much and, for now, he doesn’t overwhelm.