Like danger again? – Prediction: Corona numbers are likely to stagnate

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According to the expectations of the forecast consortium, the process of corona infection will hardly accelerate in the coming days. “There is a stagnation in the reported number of cases. There have been no substantial increases in any age group and in any state. The wastewater signal also currently suggests that development will tend to be constant,” the forecast published Wednesday said.

The consortium identifies the weather as a factor of uncertainty: changing weather conditions lead to “seasonal effects” that drive the infection process. In the variants, the share of mutations BQ.1, BQ.1.1 and BF.7 continues to increase. However, this growth has weakened somewhat in the past week and is therefore “not yet relevant” for the forecast period.

The occupancy forecast assumes a slight decrease in the number of hospital admissions: for the last forecast day, November 23, according to the consortium, between 696 and a maximum of 1137 beds should be occupied by Covid patients. On Tuesday morning, 1,190 infected people were treated at local hospitals, 78 of whom were in intensive care units. The number of intensive care patients increases with the last forecast day on November 23 in the worst case to 96, the average is 69 intensive care patients.

Source: Krone

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