For centuries – NASA: July probably warmest month


July 2023 will be the world’s warmest month in “hundreds, if not thousands, of years,” according to NASA’s chief climatologist. “We are seeing unprecedented changes around the world, the heat waves we are seeing in the US, Europe and China are breaking records,” said Gavin Schmidt.

Several heat records have already been broken this month, according to measurements from the European Union and the University of Maine, which use ground and satellite data to model preliminary estimates. While they differed slightly, the trend of extreme heat is undeniable and will likely be confirmed by the more robust monthly reports from US officials, Schmidt added.

Record high temperatures
In addition, not only the weather phenomenon El Niño, which “has just begun”, can be held responsible for the effects. Even though El Niño plays a small role, it is “the global heat, pretty much everywhere, especially in the oceans”. It has seen record high sea surface temperatures, even outside the tropics, for many months, Schmidt noted.

The current weather phenomena increase the chance that 2023 will be the warmest year on record. According to Schmidt’s calculations, the probability is 50 to 50. Other scientists put the probability at 80 percent, he said.

“We expect 2024 to be an even hotter year as we kick it off with the El Niño phenomenon just starting to build and will peak later this year.”

Source: Krone


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