Military analysts say North Korea’s ammunition cannot decide a war

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According to military analysts, North Korea can supply Russia with artillery ammunition and anti-tank missiles for its war, but this is unlikely to decide the war. Access to supplies would likely prolong the fighting but not change the outcome, it said on Tuesday.

According to estimates, the Russian military fired about 10 to 11 million shots last year. Supplies from North Korea could help Russia replenish its dwindling supplies, says researcher Joseph Dempsey. In principle, massive artillery fire plays an important role. Analysts also speak of the ‘King of Battle’.

“If used properly, artillery can break the will and cohesion of the enemy and provides a great opportunity to seize the initiative and gain ground,” writes Patrick Hinton, a British Army officer at the Royal United Services Institute, in a study. However, it is more complicated than simply firing grenades at the enemy. Russian artillery pieces have repeatedly failed to dislodge the entrenched Ukrainians, he writes.

Lack of precision?
The quality of artillery shells from North Korea is also an important aspect, Hinton said. Since 2010 it has been suspected that this artillery is not accurate. At the time, the military fired about 170 shells at the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong. Four people were killed. During the incident, more than half of the projectiles are said to have fallen into the waters around the island. About a fifth did not explode. This high defect rate suggests that quality control in North Korea is poor or storage conditions are poor, a report said.

Both Russia and Ukraine depend on partners for arms supplies. The munitions the US has supplied to Ukraine include more advanced projectiles such as the Excalibur. These are equipped with GPS guidance and steering fins and can hit smaller targets of three meters from a distance of up to 40 kilometers.

North Korean ammunition is probably less high-tech. Traditional Russian artillery would be provided with barrage fire, but Russia would not receive precision munitions. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is currently in Russia to meet with Vladimir Putin. One of the topics of discussion would be the arms supplies for the war in Ukraine (see video above).

Source: Krone

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