Israel vs. Iran – Middle East expert sees “very high” risk of war

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The Israeli government emphasizes that there will be a response to the Iranian missile and drone attacks. After five meetings of the War Cabinet, there is apparently still no decision on the nature and especially the scale of the counter-attack. Although all parties call on their allies and the United Nations to de-escalate, some experts consider the risk of war very high.

“Such an escalation spiral slips away very quickly and very easily, because both escalation and de-escalation are risky for both parties,” says conflict and protest researcher Tareq Sydiq from Marburg University. “You don’t know exactly how the other side will react and at what point war will become inevitable. I estimate the risk to be very high,” he adds.

“The willingness to take more risks is new”
Expert Sydiq sees the airstrike against the generals on an embassy complex in the Syrian capital Damascus, to which the mullahs’ regime responded this weekend with 300 rockets and drones, in the context of the Gaza conflict: “The presence of the Revolutionary Guards is already on the Israeli side. “It has long been seen as a threat to its own security and is understood as such, as Iran’s elite force cooperates with the Lebanese Hezbollah militia and also supports Hamas in the Gaza Strip.”

Sydiq is currently seeing major international efforts to prevent war. The danger of war remains, “because both sides have reasons to continue the escalation.” That is not new. “What is absolutely new is the willingness to take more risks.”

Source: Krone

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