After the mutual attacks, Israel and Iran are trying to show restraint. The conflict is on very thin ice. A new chapter has opened in the Middle East. And the delay could be followed by a storm.
The world is still holding its breath. The spiral of escalation between Israel and Iran was stopped shortly before a war between the two regional powers. Or rather, you pressed pause. A return to the “status quo ante” – that is, to the relations before the attacks – is no longer possible. The Middle East has opened a new chapter. In which Iran and Israel attacked each other directly for the first time in their history.
Now a few questions arise, as Ali Vaez, adviser to the US president on Middle East affairs, put it: Was this all a one-time event or just a prelude? Do both parties have the same understanding of where the new boundaries are? And now that the precedents are in place, what happens next time?
It was no coincidence that Israel attacked Isfahan. The city is of great value to the regime, not because of its rich history and culture, but because it is home to the center of Iran’s nuclear program. This was an undeniable threat. Reinhard Schulze of the University of Bern, one of the leading Middle East experts in the German-speaking world, said of the ‘Krone’ that Israel is ‘intervening gradually and more and more’. What we have now seen “was the lowest level.” A signal that they can focus on the nuclear program. A signal that Iran also sends with its attack of more than 300 missiles, drones and cruise missiles.
The problem is that they both have very different ideas about red lines. “Israel defines the targeted use of medium-range missiles with a high explosive capacity as a red line,” Schulze said. “In Iran the situation is different because of the complicated balance of power. The Revolutionary Guards, the army or the government each have their own ideas about what the red lines are.” Moreover, the Islamic Republic is currently facing enormous internal problems. Iran could turn current threats – external and internal – into a struggle for its own existence.
And while Iran’s nuclear program is officially only civilian in nature and spiritual and secular leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei considers the use of nuclear weapons “un-Islamic,” experts say Iran could use it to counter a nuclear threat. to create. At this point, the “pause” button has been pressed on the spiral of violence. What happens next is still scary in the future.
Source: Krone
I am Wallace Jones, an experienced journalist. I specialize in writing for the world section of Today Times Live. With over a decade of experience, I have developed an eye for detail when it comes to reporting on local and global stories. My passion lies in uncovering the truth through my investigative skills and creating thought-provoking content that resonates with readers worldwide.
