‘Swing States’, the seven hinge states that could decide the 2024 US elections

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The outcome of the US elections will depend on what happens in Nevada, Michigan, Arizona, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia and Pennsylvania, as these are the key areas that could give Harris or Trump victory.

Swing states. These are called decisive states, in which it is difficult to predict what the vote will be like American elections. seven territories They will tip the balance for the Republicans or the Democrats.

For example, the 2024 elections, which will elect Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, or Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, as president, will in some cases be determined by a small number of voters. most important states.

Opinion polls predict the 2024 election will be the most doubtful of history, and “hinge states” or streamers will play a key role in the election of the next president of the United States.

On this occasion Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin It is those seven states that distribute 93 election delegates. They are states no clear trend votes and that can vary from one election to another, as they are not Democratic or Republican fiefdoms, so the candidacies of both parties focus their efforts on capturing the votes in these regions.

The country that carries the most weight is Pennsylvania (19 votes), and while they are not the majority as in the southwestern states, Hispanic voters play a crucial role there, the population that has grown the fastest in the past decade.

The next major states with the most electoral votes are Georgia (16) and North Carolina (16), followed by Michigan (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Nevada (6).

Electoral system

The “hinge” contains the choice is indirectas citizens do not choose their preferred candidate, but their vote is directed to the voters who are part of the list Electoral College. These are the ones who ultimately choose the president and vice president (the election takes place on December 17).

The United States has a total 538 voters which are divided into 50 states based on their population. This figure corresponds to the sum of the members of the House of Representatives (435) and the Senate (100), plus 3 representatives from Washington DC. Each state gets at least three votes, depending on the size of its congressional delegation.

To win the presidency, a candidate must at least have a presidency 270 votes. If no candidate receives 270 electoral votes, the House of Representatives will choose the winner from the candidates who have obtained electoral votes.

Source: EITB

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