The polls predict that the conservative bloc led by the leader of the Brothers of Italy would gain 46% in the September 25 elections
Although it will not be until August 26 when the posters that officially start the campaign will be put up, Italian political parties are already committed to the general elections to be held on September 25. If what the polls predict is true, the election will be won by the conservative bloc led by the Brothers of Italy (HdI), the far-right political force led by Giorgia Meloni. Meloni, a member of Vox in the European Parliament, has benefited from her decision not to join the broad coalition that has supported Mario Draghi’s government for the past year and a half, leaving her the only voice of the opposition.
Instead, the League of Matteo Salvini and Forza Italia (FI), Silvio Berlusconi’s party, were part of the governing alliance, which have seen HdI gobble up the ground until they already reached 23% of the voting intentions. The internal competition between the right largely explains why the League and Forza Italia chose to blow up this week, along with the 5-star movement (M5E), the Draghi Executive, which will remain in office until the formation of the new government.
According to the latest polls, the conservative bloc made up of HdI, the League and FI would take 46% of the vote, while the Democratic Party and its left-wing allies would take nearly 30%. The M5E would narrowly reach 10%, confirming its historic debacle as it won the previous election, held in 2018, with 32% of the vote. There are also fears that there will be a high rate of abstinence due to the exhaustion caused by the fall of the government, the development of the campaign over the summer and the lack of mobilization of the M5E electorate.
“Meloni is more afraid of becoming prime minister than the left itself doing it,” Mattia Diletti, professor of political science at La Sapienza University in Rome, says ironically, explaining how dizzy the leader of the Brothers of Italy was because she for the political opportunity of a lifetime. “He knows that leadership in Italy takes very little. They burn out very quickly and she is aware that she doesn’t have the right people to rule.” Diletti recalls what happened to HdI’s germ party when it took over the mayoralty of Rome in 2008 thanks to its candidate, Gianni Alemanno: «He tried to present himself as a modern and acceptable alderman, but ended up shouting to his side characters from the extreme right that they were not presentable».
That risk of the emergence of the most extreme wing of HDI, a political force that seduces nostalgic people into fascism, will certainly be one of the arguments used by the left during the election campaign. However, the political science professor at La Sapienza University in Rome believes that even if the conservative bloc wins the election and is led by Meloni’s party, Italy’s placement within the European Union and NATO is not in danger.
“Controls power,” he affirms, as he ventures that the headline of the list of Brothers of Italy “will place American flags everywhere” and “make a profession of faith to Europe”. The experience of the first government of this legislature, formed by the M5E and the League, also invites the alarm not to go off. The two sides then flirted with the idea of taking Italy out of the eurozone and even tried to openly oppose an economist as minister of the economy against the single currency, but they ran into the filter of the president of the republic, Sergio Mattarella. The head of state’s role will certainly be equally crucial in shaping the next Executive and he will have no qualms about using his veto power with those ministers who could threaten the country’s international alliances.
Source: La Verdad
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