Three ways to get out of the war in Ukraine

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Every war has an end. The only question is under what circumstances will the mutual slaughter end. And how long it takes. The three possible ways to end a war are always the same: one side loses. Or it loses the other side. Or there is a negotiated solution in which the two sides meet, in which compromises are negotiated. These three options also exist in Ukraine.

Case one – Ukraine wins. There is hardly a military expert who believes that Ukraine can defeat the Russians. Not a quick win in any case. In the end, the Afghans also defeated the Soviet Union – after ten years. And then the US Taliban won – after 20 years. Do we want a European Afghanistan?

Or the Russians win. Again, it turned out that Moscow was incapable of the planned blitzkrieg, which should have taken Kiev and Ukraine. Now troops are being redeployed for another attack on the Donbass in eastern Ukraine. Kiev is already calling on the civilian population to leave the area. And then?

Should the Russians succeed in taking eastern Ukraine, they could move back towards Kiev after a phase of military consolidation. The Chechen Putin vassal Kadyrov already alludes to this. That could mean months, if not years, of war in Ukraine. Can you want that?

negotiated solution? Only with neutral Ukraine
What remains is the negotiated solution, in which both parties should approach each other. A way should be found for a ceasefire and ultimately a peaceful solution that both sides can live with. Political reality has shown that this path can only lead through neutrality for Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin will not accept anything else. Associated with appropriate security guarantees for Kiev.

Austria has a lot of (also historical) experience when it comes to neutrality issues (and the negotiations with Moscow). So why wouldn’t Chancellor Karl Nehammer try to mediate between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Putin? Apparently, both the Ukrainian and Russian sides approved this. Otherwise it wouldn’t have happened. Otherwise they would not have received Nehammer. Of course, you couldn’t expect miracles from Putin’s suburban conversation. But no matter how many talks and rounds of negotiation it takes – every conversation is a step in the right direction.

“If you stop talking, you leave everything to the guns”
That is why the Turkish foreign minister and the Israeli head of government have been in Moscow since the start of the war and that is why the French president and the German and Luxembourg prime ministers are on the phone with Putin. And that’s why Nehammer was there now. No Austrian knows Ukraine and Putin’s war of aggression against Kiev better than ORF Ukraine correspondent Christian Wehrschütz. When asked whether Nehammer’s visit to Putin was worth it, he said: “If you stop talking at all, leave everything to the guns.” He knows exactly what he’s talking about.

Source: Krone

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