The PNV would achieve an absolute majority for the first time

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The jeltzale formation would peak over four years ago. For its part, EH Bildu would be the formation that grew the most, with two more seats, while the PSE-EE would stay and Elkarrekin and the PP would fall.

Euskaraz irakurri: Bizkaia: EAJk gehiengo osoa lortuko luke lehen aldiz

The PNV would achieve an absolute majority in the parliament for the first time General Assemblies of Bizkaia in the May 28 regional electionsaccording to EITB Focus, the most comprehensive survey ever conducted in the Basque Country, which would see the jeltzale candidate, Elixabete Etxanobe, become a general deputy, replacing Unai memorywho is not eligible for re-election.

This special edition of the macro survey EITB Focus It comes just two months before the municipal and regional elections, in which citizens will elect their representatives in the General Assemblies and the town halls, who will later nominate general deputies and mayors.

According to this macro survey, the PNV would have 26 representatives in Bizkaia, one more than four years ago, and the percentage of votes received would rise from 43.5% in 2019 to 45.4%, more than double that of the second most voted party. EH Bildu.

EITB FOCUS

However, the Abertzale coalition would be the political force that grew the most, both in seats (it would gain 12, two more than in the last election), and in votes (it would gain 22.6%, compared to 19.9 % ). in 2019).

The PSE-EE would keep its current representation (8 junteros y junteras), but with a lower percentage of votes received, 15.3% (in 2019 it garnered 16.6%).

PDF: EITB FOCUS, General Meetings, full overview

For its part, Elkarrekin, a coalition formed by Podemos Euskadi, Ezker Anitza-IU, Berdeak Equo and Alianza Verde, would lose two seats compared to the representation that Elkarrekin Podemos obtained in the last regional elections, from 6 to 4. In percentage of the vote , the drop would be 2.2 points, gaining 8.4%, compared to the last 10.6%.

The last formation with representation in the JJ. g. of Bizkaia would be the PP, which would accuse Vox’s presence and lose one of its two current representatives by getting 5.2% of the vote. In 2019, the Conservative party gained 1.5 points more, a figure that’s almost equal to Vox’s increase in votes this year (it would gain 1.9%, compared to 0.9% four years ago).

EITB FOCUS

EITB FOCUS

Research

In general, the citizens of Bizkaia approve of the majority of male and female candidates, although their level of knowledge is low.

For example, Elixabete Etxanobe (PNV) is the best-rated candidate, with an average grade of 6.2, but Iker Casanova (EH Bildu) is more famous (he has a knowledge level of 33.9%, compared to 31.2% of the list head jeltzale). The verdict of the abertzale candidate is a 5.9.

For the rest of the candidacies, Teresa Laespada obtained a knowledge level of 25% and a rating of 5; Eneritz de Madariaga (Elkarrekin) is known by 22.9% of the residents of Bizkaia and has almost passed with a grade of 4.9. And further away Raquel González (PP), with knowledge of 18.7% and a grade of 2.9; and Niko Gutiérrez (Vox), with 14.1% and 2.

Tomorrow the congregation

Tomorrow, Tuesday, the media of the EITB Group will publish the third part of the EITB Focus macro survey with data on voting intentions for the municipal elections.

In the case of Bizkaia, the predictions for Bilbao, Barakaldo, Getxo and Basauri are offered.

Methodology

6,649 people living in the BAC were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the municipal and regional elections on May 28 (1,543 in Álava, 2,483 in Bizkaia and 2,623 in Gipuzkoa). In Navarre, 1,204 people participated.

Random sample stratified by historical territory, description, municipality, gender and age.

The fieldwork was carried out from February 27 to March 17 in the CAV and from February 22 to 27 in Navarra.

For more complete information on confidence level, margin of error, and other statistical aspects, please refer to the study’s PDF.

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Source: EITB

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