The right would lose up to two seats after the breakup of the Navarra Suma coalition and the PSN could even out the number of MPs from the UPN.
PD | eitb media
UPN It would be the power with the most votes in Navarre’s parliamentary elections of 28 million, although the PSN could even match the number of seats according to the macro survey EITB focuswhich sees the light of day more than a week before the appointment with the polls.
The regionalist formation would blame the split on the Navarra Suma coalition, which won 20 seats in the previous election, winning between 12 and 13 representatives with 23.8% of the vote.
In a troubled river I would fish psn, which would be able to reissue the current government formula with the left parties. Specifically, the poll gives 11-12 seats to the Socialist Party, compared to the current 11, with a growth of more than one point in votes, to 21.8%.
I would go to third EH Bilduwhich would overtake Geroa Bai and win 8-9 seats, up from 7 four years ago.
On the contrary, gero bai he dropped to fourth, from 9 reps to 7-8.
How far away would be PP with 5.
For its part, the coalition With you Navarrewith a forecast of 3-4, could add another MP.
Finally, vox would storm parliament with 1-2 seats.
Results per block
If the polls confirm the scenario envisioned by EITB Focus, the PSN candidate and current president of the Foral Government, Mary Chivitecould remain in office with the support of Geroa Bai and Contigo Navarra, needing only EH Bildu’s abstention to be elected by a simple majority on the second ballot.
Thus, the restructuring of the right-wing vote following the breakup of the Navarra Suma coalition and the Vox raid would harm UPN’s institutional aspirations. Ley D’hont’s distribution system is ruthless: UPN, PPN, Ciudadanos and Vox would add even more votes than in 2019, but could lose up to two seats.
Methodology
6,649 people living in the BAC were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the municipal and regional elections on May 28 (1,543 in Álava, 2,483 in Bizkaia and 2,623 in Gipuzkoa). In Navarre, 1,358 people participated.
The fieldwork was conducted from April 26 to May 12 in Euskadi and from May 3 to 11 in Navarra.
For more complete information on the study or other statistical aspects, please refer to the full PDF.
full pdf: EITB Focus on the Navarre Parliament elections
full pdf: EITB Focus on the elections in the Basque Country
Source: EITB
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
