Possible battle in Gipuzkoa between the PNV and EH Bildu, with a margin of 2.5% of the vote

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Both PSE-EE, Elkarrekin Podemos and PP would lose support compared to the previous election nomination, in line with what polls predict in the rest of the areas.

Euskaraz irakurri: Lehia estua eman liteke EAJ eta EH Bilduren artean Gipuzkoan

In Gipuzkoa, EITB FOCUS projects a potential battle between the PNV and EH Bildu as the two formations would move within a 2.5% margin of the vote if the elections were held now, according to the EITB’s 27th Macro Survey. group.

This new wave of EITB FOCUS has been implemented when there is still a year left to call municipal and regional elections, which were to be held on the last Sunday of May 2023. Today EITB publishes the second episode, on regional elections. Tomorrow, the part of the inquiry pertaining to Navarra will be made public, both to the parliament and to the capital.

PSE-EE, like Elkarrekin Podemos and PP, would lose support compared to the previous election. The third force would thus be the PSE-EE, with 16.7% of the votes cast (-0.6%). Elkarrekin Podemos, the fourth strength, with 7.4%, 1.6% less than in 2019. Finally, the PP goes from 4.8% to 4.6%.

Average EITB Chart.

With regard to the assessment of the governance of the councils and the general representatives, citizens give Markel Olano an average of 5.5 and in 77.6% of the comments his administration is approved.

Average EITB Chart.

Average EITB Chart.

Overall, 72.1% of citizens approve of the management of the provincial councils, with an average score of 5.9, the same score received by the Basque government as a whole.

Exactly, the Basque government achieved a 5.9 by the whole population of the CAV, with the approval of 77.4% of those polled. By province, the highest score for the Basque government is awarded to Bizkaia, with a 6.2; the second highest Álava, with 5.8 and, finally, Gipuzkoa, with 5.5.

Finally, the citizens of the CAV give a 5.7 to the management of the Spanish government, which is approved by 57% of the respondents. The highest figure is recorded in Bizkaia, with 4.9; followed by Álava, with a 4.6, and ended with Gipuzkoa, with a 4.3. However, in all three cases, more than 50% of the responses are approved by their management.

Methodology:

The methodology used for the preparation of this study is quantitative, using the telephone interview technique. This research technique makes it possible to respond to all proposed objectives and to obtain results with a maximum validity and reliability with which to act effectively.

The population that makes up the research universe consists of the group of people older than or equal to 18 years old, residents of the CAV, who carry out the fieldwork during the days from 5 to 12 March. A stratified sample has been carried out, with determination proportional to the quota, also using quantitative method.

Data sheet:

1,750 inhabitants of the BAC (400 in Vitoria-Gasteiz and 150 in the rest of Araba; 400 in Bilbao and 200 in the rest of Bizkaia; 400 in Donostia-San Sebastián and 200 in the rest of Gipuzkoa). Em= ±2.34%, 95% confidence level, p=q=0.5, for CAV data, ±4.18% for Araba data, ±4.0 0% for Bizkaia data, ±4.00 % for Gipuzkoa data, ±4.90% for Vitoria-Gasteiz data, ±4.90% for Bilbao data and ±4.90% for Donostia-San Sebastián data. Random sample stratified by historical area, municipality, gender and age.

26.9% of the surveys were conducted in Basque and the remaining 73.1% in Spanish. Total results weighted by population size of the surveyed municipalities. The fieldwork was conducted from 5 to 12 May 2022 by means of a telephone interview. The average length of the survey was 5.31′, with the shortest survey being 4′ and the longest 18′.

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Source: EITB

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