The sovereigntist coalition will be the first force and the PNV would get 2-3 fewer seats, albeit with almost the same percentage of votes. The PSE-EE remains stable and the PP grows. As for the confederal left, only Sumar will get representation. Vox stays off camera.
EITB focus provides that EH Bildu will win the elections for the Basque parliament on April 21. It will be the first time that the sovereigntist coalition wins the elections. EAJ-PNV will be the second force, with 2 to 3 fewer seats, although the percentage of votes is almost the same.
The EITB macro survey, published just a week before the election, paints a scenario in which the percentage undecided remains at 20% and will determine the final result.
According to EITB Focus, EH Bildu will be the leading force in votes and seats, with 34.9% of the votes and 28-29 seats. Compared to the elections four years ago, it will grow by 7 points and 7 to 8 seats.
EAJ-PNV will be the second fighting force. The Yeltzales will receive almost the same number of votes, 34.2%, and could win 26-27 seats.
He PSE-EE remains stable in voting intentions and could win two more seats. The Socialists receive 14% of the votes, with 10-12 seats.
He PP is growing about the elections four years ago. He rises in percentage of the vote, 7.7%, and wins a seat that passes Expel Vox from the Basque parliament.
As for the confederal left, according to EITB Focus: only Sumar gets representationtwo seats at best. Elkarrekin Podemos is not taken into account of the Basque room.
With this photo, PNV and PSE-EE could re-elect the government coalition, but they could not guarantee the current absolute majority.
By area, EH Bildu will be the first force in Álava and Gipuzkoa, while EAJ-PNV will win in Bizkaia.
A week after the vote, the campaign has failed to activate citizens, and participation does not reach 61% of the votes. 20% remain undecided.
Evaluation of candidates
This new edition of EITB Focus has also asked about the candidates for lehendakari. Regarding the last EITB Focus published in March, the knowledge of the two candidates from the two main parties increases significantly, and their rating is almost identical.
Possible appointments
The EITB Focus results indicate that a pact between the PNV and the PSE-EE would obtain between 36 and 39 seats, and would therefore not achieve an absolute majority. A possible pact between EH Bildu and PSE-EE would yield between 38 and 41 seats, and a pact between EH Bildu and PNV between 54 and 56 seats.
Data sheet
1,800 people living in the BAC were interviewed to prepare the EITB Focus survey (600 in each historical area).
The fieldwork was conducted from April 5 to 11 through telephone interviews.
All data, microdata and other statistical aspects can be consulted in the Open Data section of the EITB Group Transparency Portal.
Source: EITB
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
