If National Council elections were to take place at this time, the FPÖ would become much stronger, gaining 37 percent of the vote. The trend is increasing. The losers would be the ÖVP and SPÖ.
Who would have thought that after the earthquake that hit Ibiza? Probably not even the most loyal fighters on the right. The FPÖ – was the tone after the video was published – would sink into nothingness. Over and over again.
Five years later, Herbert Kickl, who was deposed as Minister of the Interior in Ibiza, won the elections for the National Council as party leader. With just under 29 percent more than the charismatic overlord Jörg Haider in 1999 (26.9 percent) – and current surveys confirm: the blue flight continues.
A representative survey commissioned by the “Krone” of the Institute for Demoscopy and Data Analysis (IFDD) (1250 respondents, fluctuation range +/-2.8 percent) shows in response to Sunday’s question: if there are elections for the National Council were to be, the FPÖ would reach around 37 percent (see graph above). Kickl thus breaks the record of Sebastian Kurz, who took 37.5 percent to Ibiza in 2019. And also benefited from the FPÖ’s brief crash.
“Mister 37 percent” is currently being overtaken
Sebastian Kurz was the “Mister 37 percent”. “Kickl is on the same page in our research. The trend is probably upward,” says IFDD boss Christoph Haselmayer. Many things that used to apply no longer apply today. “I remind you of statements made by several journalists: ‘With Herbert Kickl, the FPÖ is limited to a maximum of 20 percent.’”
The current data is also likely due to tough sweetheart negotiations. ÖVP, SPÖ and NEOS are desperately trying to form a trio that suits all parties. The criticism is becoming louder that we finally have to get to work. Above all, the economic situation requires an intact government as soon as possible.
Only the NEOS remained unscathed
The polls put further pressure on potential coalition partners. The ÖVP, which received more than 26 percent in the elections, would only have 21 percent, the SPÖ on 20 (election result 21). “The ÖVP now compares itself at a low level with the SPÖ with the worst result,” says the pollster. But it was always emphasized that the FPÖ’s sound barrier was one third. “The Christmas period of 2024 now shows that this barrier has also been broken.”
In any case, the NEOS with Beate Meinl-Reisinger were able to rise slightly and are now at ten percent. Haselmayer: “The losses of the ÖVP and the SPÖ go 1:1 to the liberal account. The behavior of the Federal President when forming a government and dissatisfaction with a potentially losing coalition can also play an important role.”
Source: Krone
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
