Spain has an 8% chance of winning the World Cup

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USA is the favorite to win the worldbut their hypothetical third consecutive title faces a strong challenge from the best teams in Europe, as well as co-hosts Australia, according to ‘Gracenote’, a company owned by Nielsen Holdings which provides music, video and sports metadata and recognition technologies. automatic delivery of content to entertainment companies and services worldwide.

The Americans’ chance of claiming their fifth victory overall is just 18%. Sweden, Germany, France and England are their main rivals, with a 58% chance that the winner will come from this quintet.

The ‘Gracenote’ forecast, based on around a million simulations of the tournament, gave Olympic silver medalists and third-placed Sweden the second best chance of winning (11%). “Our simulations confirm that the 2023 World Cup is likely to be a very open and competitive tournament,” said analysis leader Simon Gleave.

“There is a strong challenge for champions and favorite USA from Europe and Australia’s home field advantage pushes them to the seventh most likely team to win.” Germany (11%), France (9%), European champions England (8%), Spain (8%), Australia (8%), Brazil (7%) and reigning Olympic champions Canada (6%) rounded out the favorites.

The eight likely quarter-finalists are Spain, US, France, Germany, Sweden, England, Japan and Australia, in that order, while the most likely semi-finalists are the US, Sweden, Germany and France. The most likely World Cup final is USA vs. Germany at just under 6%, where the USA vs. France, England, Australia and Brazil, in that order, round out the five most likely finalists.

Source: La Verdad

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