In the CAV, EH Bildu is the party that is growing the most, with voters from Unidas Podemos, the PNV and abstainers. The undecided are concentrated in the left-wing state bloc (PSOE-Sumar). In Navarre, EH Bildu would duplicate results in Basque-speaking areas, and the majority of NA+ voters support the PP.
A week before the parliamentary elections on 23 July EH Bildu It is the first political force in Euskadi in terms of direct voting intention (twenty-one %), thus exceeding GDP (18%), which has been positioned as the second political force, as evidenced by the latter iTB Focus on the intention to vote and the report.
Document: Full report from Euskadi
Document: Full report from Navarra
PSE-EE would be the third force with the 10.8% direct mood. However, there are 12% of those polled who did not answer, 16% do not know who they will vote for and 11% confirm that they will not vote.
EH Bildu voters are those most likely to vote, followed by Sumar, the PP, the EAJ/PNV and the PSOE.
Similarly, the survey shows that more women than men are in doubt, while the majority of men choose to abstain. In terms of age, PNV and PSE-EE are the ones with the oldest electorate and EH Bildu remains the most successful party among young people.
EH Bildu voters are those who believe more (51%) than the Basque parties will be more influential in Madrid during the next legislature. While the jeltzales are not so optimistic (34%) and the majority of those polled believe that the Basque parties will not increase their influence in Congress.
The PSN would win in Navarre
In Navarre, the psn is the first force (20.3%) with direct intent to vote, followed by the PP (17.8%) and from EH Bildu (13.4%) (up to 29% in Basque speaking areas).
In addition, it should be noted that the PSN and the PP are the ones that concentrate the most female voters, and along with the UPN older voters; while EH Bildu and Sumar are the parties with majority vote among youth and men.
The voice transfers between the main parties take place within the blocs. In the right, the old Navarra Suma, unlike the regional elections in which it transferred the majority of its electorate to the UPN, in the general elections this transfer takes place to the PP. He 44% of voters Navarra Som in 2019 they will choose to the popular and the 20% to UPN, although many are still skeptical among former coalition voters. In the space of the left, the voters of United we can in 2019 they will elect a majority Add (43%), while 22% are unsure.
EH Bildu continues to have the match most loyal voters. 81% of those who voted for the coalition in 2019 will do so again in 2023. In the case of Geroa Bai, only 28% of voters will repeat in 2019 (in primaries, the loyalty rate was 70%).
As for the advice on the influence of the Navarran parties in Madridonly 23% believe that the parties will have more influence in the next legislature. The percentage is growing in those at the regional level (Geroa Bai, EH Bildu and UPN). Sumar voters in Navarre are the least optimistic about the ability to influence.
Methodology
2,400 voters living in the CAV (800 in each province) were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the July 23 General Elections. In Navarre, 915 people took part (including 300 in Pamplona). In both communities, fieldwork was conducted by telephone from June 28 to July 11.
Source: EITB
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
