Democratic Party goes to the polls alarmed by predictions that give Biden 39% confidence, as expectations grow for Republicans who had to convince Trump not to present his presidential candidacy at the latest campaign rally
In the United States, polls have already opened to celebrate an election event that goes far beyond the traditionally bland midterm elections. Today, yes, the composition of the House of Representatives, the Senate and the head of state governments are elected, in addition to hundreds of local and fiscal functions.
But above all, a hugely tense electoral system, the US’s ability to overcome the Democratic debacle that ended with the attack on Capitol Hill in 2021, and the political future of the president himself are put to the test. The margin of control, or blockage, of the initiatives of Joe Biden and the rest of a legislature with four major issues on its agenda will depend on the balance of power that emerges between Democrats and Republicans: the economy, civil insecurity, abortion and immigration.
The nature of these by-elections is complex and so there will be no customary election night. In states like Georgia and Pennsylvania, to name two examples, final results are expected within days or even weeks. So do we have to wait until December to find out who won on November 8? Yes and no. Politicians rely heavily on trends for their immediate future. Associated Press today deploys 4,000 correspondents on the ground, in addition to a complex network of websites that enable it to collect all certified data, from states to municipalities.
Combined with a series of studies, surveys and polls conducted by each medium of communication, all of this can provide a vision, if not numerical, of aptitude. Though its value has been mediated since the last two election talks due to the unstoppable increase in mail votes.
Last morning, newspapers, television and digital closed their covers calling for Democrats to go to the polls to save democracy and Republicans to “humiliate” their rivals. In the past few hours, Trump has somewhat reduced his expected complaints about voter fraud, perhaps because all the government candidates and the chambers came out as virtual winners in a storm. The final analyzes provoked Republicans to conquer the institutions, and Democrats did everything they could to avoid a major defeat.
According to these analyses, the conservatives have a good chance of regaining control of the House of Representatives, so yesterday, Monday, their candidates were more focused on the battle for the Senate (where they have half the representation) and the state governments. Taking the leadership of most of the country’s fifty states is another way to block White House initiatives. The Democrats, led by Biden, gave them a confidence of up to 39% of voters in the latest poll published by Ipsos/Reuters last night.
Biden closed the campaign in Maryland, in a low-risk strategy that has led him to essentially visit Democratic strongholds and avoid those regions where his acceptance is low. Some analyzes attribute its supposed weakness to the fact that these elections were seen as a foretaste of the 2024 presidential election and that the results focused on a struggle for democracy, with the issues most preoccupying citizens on the streets with the economic crisis. , street violence and abortion in the lead. The president’s last message went straight to his Republican rival: “You can’t just love your country when you win.”
In addition to Obama, the campaign leaders have given a relevant role to former President Bill Clinton, who put on the brooch on the eve of the Texas election. Focusing her speech on the health advances made by Democrats, Clinton warned in the border town of Laredo that if Republicans win in the House, they will dismantle Medicare and health laws. “Their future is threatened, and so are my grandchildren,” he said. One of the most repeated critiques of opposition to the Biden administration has been precisely its management of the coronavirus crisis
It is also true that Donald Trump has largely taken advantage of the campaign and made it a personal matter, making a significant part of Republicanism uncomfortable. In fact, at his closing meeting in Ohio yesterday, on the last day of the campaign, the tycoon expressed his desire to make a splash and announce his candidacy for the presidency to the party leadership. Republican leaders had to make real efforts to convince Trump to wait until after the election in tense hours when some advisers were for and others against the initiative. Ultimately, the former president was content to announce that he will make “a very important announcement” from his mansion in Mar-a-Lago on Nov. 15. “We don’t want anything to diminish the importance of tomorrow’s act,” he added.
Bearing in mind the polls, Trump spent his last meeting addressing the masses to “issue a humiliating rebuke to the radical left in this election,” he said. Republicans have had it a little easier to some extent by highlighting the flaws and problems of these two years of the Biden administration: from the embarrassing withdrawal from Afghanistan to the rise in fuel prices, the “soft stance” on immigration and the no results against crime. Hardly any promises from Biden in this area have been fulfilled and the number of murders and robberies is rising non-stop, with a 24% increase in crimes compared to last year.
In addition to the plans to hire 100,000 new police officers, the announcement of the closure of the store of a prestigious sportswear brand in San Francisco with the poster “The city of chaos” went more viral on the networks. Unemployment following the long coronavirus epidemic and the galloping crisis has left dozens of companies – from Louis Vuitton to Zara or the pharmacy chain Walgreens – hit in this capital with attacks, where robberies are classified without violence and with loot of less than 950 euros. as crimes. There have been reports of thieves breaking into stores in broad daylight with garbage bags quietly filling them with items in front of the unmoved gaze of employees and guards.
Trump also resorted to his usual catalog of insults in Ohio to describe Nanci Pelosi, the Democratic House president, as an “animal” who has tried to ruin his political career. Exactly, Monday was also an evening of announcements for the veteran institutional leader. In an interview, Pelosi hinted that if her party loses the House, her continuation in politics will be considered, especially after the severe hammer attack her husband recently suffered at the hands of a hothead.
Amid this climate, Americans are already voting. More than 43.5 million have done it in advance (up from 39.1 million in 2018) and thousands more have been to open polling stations in Connecticut, Indiana, Kentucky as early as 6 a.m. (noon in Spain) Louisiana, Maine, New Jersey, New York and Virginia. Given the latitude of the country, the first polls close at 6:00 pm (midnight in Spain) and the last at 1:00 am (US time) in the Aleutian Islands.
The turnout is not yet predictable. In the US, voters must register in advance, but they can do so in advance or at the same time as casting their vote today. There is a difference of criteria in this matter, which has given rise to dozens of judicial appeals. In Delaware, for example, a judge has ruled that direct registration and voting by mail are unconstitutional, while in Virginia this system is being used for the first time. In Florida, the state government’s new regulations have also created obstacles to the traditional operation of Election Day. In any case, the United States today feels that, above a group of representatives, its old democratic foundations are at stake.
Source: La Verdad
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