Western military experts suspect Wagner’s private Russian army could be revived (see video above). According to the American Institute for War Studies (ISW), a unified and large formation under the control of the Russian National Guard or the Ministry of Defense is conceivable. According to sources close to Wagner, Pavel Prigozhin, son of the murdered founder Yevgeny Prigozhin, could take over.
Accordingly, Pavel Prigozhin must negotiate with the National Guard, which is subordinate to the presidential government and has its own combat technology. However, the Ministry of Defense would have to take over the weapons, ammunition and logistics of the new units.
As reported, Russian President Vladimir Putin received former Wagner official and army co-founder Andrei Troshev at the Kremlin last week. He was given the task of forming volunteer units. Putin emphasized that the units should mainly be deployed in the war against Ukraine. Under Prigozhin, the mercenary force had repeatedly captured areas in the neighboring country, including the city of Bakhmut in the east.
Units spread across different countries
Overall, the status of the Wagner group according to the ISW analysis remains unclear. The units are spread across several countries, including Belarus, the Central African Republic, Libya and Mali. There is still no clear leader of the group. According to the private army, the fighters have not yet signed any contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense and have been able to continue using the name and their own symbols.
Chief Yevgeny Prigozhin failed in an uprising against the Russian military leadership in June. He had accused her of incompetence in the war. Putin then gathered the commanders in the Kremlin and introduced former officer Troshev as the new leader. However, Wagner’s management team rejected this. Two months later, Prigozhin and other commanders were killed in a plane crash in Russia. The exact cause is still unclear to this day.
A revival of units under Moscow’s control could potentially pose a new threat to Ukraine, the ISW suspects in an analysis published on Sunday (local time).
Source: Krone

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