When will the current corona wave reach its peak? And how high will the numbers rise? The GECKO committee has dealt with these questions. Conclusion: If the contacts are not greatly reduced on their own responsibility, the maximum value should be reached already in the summer. It is of course difficult to estimate how high it will go. Up to 70,000 cases per day are possible. The advisory committee recommends facilitating the availability of corona medicines.
There are still many uncertainties about when the current wave will peak. According to GECKO, a stress situation comparable to that of the first ommicron wave in the summer is possible for the health system. This means the coming together of a large number of patients who need normal care, combined with mass quarantine among the population and therefore the health professionals.
Up to 4,000 infected people can end up in the normal wards of the hospitals, 300 in the intensive care units. In terms of the number of daily cases, GECKO expects a range of 35,000 to 70,000 daily new cases at the peak of the wave.
Fewer infections due to empty classrooms and offices
However, two effects should ensure that there is initially an inhibitory effect on the spread of infection. On the one hand, it concerns the start of the holiday period with increased travel activity, which in turn is related to the closure of schools and also to the emptying of offices. On the other hand, there is also the effect of behavioral changes due to increased risk awareness above a certain number of infections, about 20,000 new cases per day.
In addition, the advisory body recommends facilitating the availability of medicines against the coronavirus. For example, an up-to-date report argues in favor of simplification of the problem by means of e-prescriptions and direct distribution to general practitioners. In addition, availability in pharmacies and care institutions should be sought.
Inform about possible interactions
Even before a possible disease, potential at-risk patients should be informed by their doctor and interactions with other drugs should be clarified. It is clear to GECKO that a combination of vaccination and medication provides an optimal protection package against serious treatments. Sufficient preparations must be available.
No serious side effects with the fourth stitch
As far as vaccinations are concerned, the fourth vaccination does not appear to have any serious side effects. This was suggested by experiences from Israel. It is not yet possible to assess whether changing the vaccine after the fourth or subsequent vaccinations will lead to changes in tolerability. It is clear that the response to the second vaccination is most pronounced with the mRNA vaccines.
With regard to vaccination in children, data show that it is better tolerated in the age group 5-11 than in the age group 12-17. So far, no cases of inflammation in the heart area have been observed in younger people.
Source: Krone
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
