The study analyzes nine possible, more and less optimistic scenarios, but seven of them anticipate a labor shortage. That is why it proposes to promote the working life of seniors, to attract and retain migration and to accelerate professional hercalification.
In the Basque autonomous community there is “a big chance that in 2036 there are not enough people to work, and” the mismatch would vary, among more than 20,000 and around 170,000 people. ”
This is one of the most important conclusions of the study “Employment and demographic transition in the Basque autonomous community and Navarra. Horizon 2036” of Werk Kutxa that was presented in Bilbao this Wednesday.
The study proposes a projection exercise on the basis of two questions: how many people will be available to work and how many jobs can exist if the economy reproduces the behavior that has already been observed.
From there, nine scenarios are analyzed, less and less optimistic. Seven of those nine scenarios have a labor shortage and at the most optimistic intersection – with an employment rate of 78 % and a creation of positions comparable to those of the last decade – all potential vacancies are not possible to cover. Moreover, only a positive balance is achieved when included in the calculation “part of the employees between 65 and 69, the creation of employment follows the most restrained path and the employment rate achieves the objective of 78 %, a context that would even implicit a larger female labor participation and a positive migration balance.”
In this context, the report proposes to act in three directions: to promote the work continuity of senior employees, to attract and retain migration and to accelerate professional recalculation programs. It also emphasizes that part of the demand from the job can be absorbed by increasing productivity per work.
Similarly, the study emphasizes that the comparison between the number of jobs and the number of employees “is no longer resolved by the economic cycle” and that every employment strategy will have to integrate structurally demographic, educational and migration areas. ”
Source: EITB
I’m Wayne Wickman, a professional journalist and author for Today Times Live. My specialty is covering global news and current events, offering readers a unique perspective on the world’s most pressing issues. I’m passionate about storytelling and helping people stay informed on the goings-on of our planet.
