‘Signal gone’ – Klimek: ‘Infection rates higher than reported’

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There is currently a large number of unreported cases of corona diseases. With the sharp drop in testing, the epidemiological reporting system (EMS) numbers are “barely meaningful,” complexity researcher Peter Klimek emphasized Wednesday. On Wednesday, 7,000 new infections were reported. If you look at the hospital numbers and the wastewater analysis data, the number should be “a factor of 2 to 3 higher”.

“We have lost the signal,” says the complexity researcher in “ZiB 2” given the lack of data. It is hardly possible to make predictions about the expected corona load in autumn and winter, one can only indicate rough trends.

Fall forecasts difficult
“Of course” it is to be expected that with the end of the holidays – when schools and offices fill up again – the dynamics will pick up again. Due to the significantly higher number of infections this year, you go indoors at a relatively high level in the summer. This could again place a heavy burden on hospitals, but with the current Omikron variant, this probably does not apply to intensive care units.

In principle, with the high vaccination coverage of the population and the new variants, the corona pandemic now falls ‘approximately’ with the flu in terms of individual risk. However, as Klimek emphasized, there is a big difference: there are flu waves once a year, corona waves much more often – three this year alone. When it came to the question of the necessary protective measures for the fall, the complexity researcher was cautious: In the long run, there will probably be no alternative to relying more on personal responsibility — even with the mask — he said.

Source: Krone

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