UPN would have the worst results in its history, Chivite could preside again

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The regionalist formation would receive the most votes, although with the fewest seats in its history, 12. Therefore, EH Bildu would again hold the key to governability and the left forces could re-issue the pact of the previous legislature.

Euskaraz irakurri: UPNk bere historiako emaitzarik txarrenak izango lituzke eta Chivite berriz honorary izango litzateke presidente

UPN would be the political force with the most votes in Navarre’s parliamentary elections, although it would achieve the worst result in its history in terms of seats after the breakup of the right-wing coalition, and socialist María Chivite could be re-elected president of the Foral government with the support of the left parties,According to the EITB Focus macro survey.

Specifically, UPN would gain 23.1% of the vote and 12 seats, while in the previous 2019 elections, the regionalist formation ran alongside PPN and Ciudadanos in the Navarra Suma coalition and together gained 36.6% of the vote and 20 seats.

However, in the May 28 election, these three parties would separately add two MPs less, 18: the aforementioned 12 from UPN plus 6 from PPN, who would get 11.9% of the vote, and none from C’s.

With regard to Geroa Bai, the coalition emerges as the third party with the most votes, able to retain the result of the last election, although the inquiry is also considering the possibility of matching EH Bildu in number of representatives.

EITB FOCUS

In any case, the right-wing bloc could match the seats of the previous legislature with Vox, which would break into the Navarrese parliament with 2 representatives and 4.4% of the vote.

The second force in seats, although with serious government options, would be the PSN, with 10-11 MPs and 18.9% support from the electorate, which would represent a slight drop in votes compared to 2019 when it the 20.6% and 11 seats.

PDF: EITB FOCUS, Parliament of Navarre, full review

In this context, the key to governance would once again be in the hands of EH Bildu, who would increase his representation by 1 seat (he would get 8 with 15.1% of the vote, compared to 7 MPs and a support of 14.5% four years ago).

Finally, Podemos and Izquierda-Ezkerra, presenting in a coalition under the name of Navarra With You, could not improve on the results of 2019: they would win 3 seats, the same ones they obtained separately, but with a lower percentage of the vote , from 6.3%, to the previous 7.7%.

EITB FOCUS

EITB FOCUS

Acknowledgment and assessment of the applications

The PSN candidate and current President of the Government of Navarra, María Chivite, is the only one to pass citizenship, with an average mark of 5. He is closely followed by Uxue Barkos (Geroa Bai), with a 4.7 . And quite a distance Javier Esparza (UPN), with a 3.9; Laura Aznal (EH Bildu) and Begoña Alfaro (Contigo Navarra), both with 3.8; Javier Garcia (PPN), with a 3.3; and much further out, Emilio Jiménez (Vox), with a 1.8.

On the other hand, Chivite, Barkos and Esparza are by far the three best-known candidates, with a prominence level of 94.5% in the case of the socialist leader and 85.9% for the Geroa Bai candidate. UPN. After them, Laura Aznal is known by 64.4% of those surveyed, Javier García by 64.3%, Emilio Jiménez by 61.3% and Begoña Alfaro by 51.5%.

Methodology

6,649 people living in the BAC were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the municipal and regional elections on May 28 (1,543 in Álava, 2,483 in Bizkaia and 2,623 in Gipuzkoa). In Navarre, 1,204 people participated.

Random sample stratified by historical territory, description, municipality, gender and age.

The fieldwork was carried out from February 27 to March 17 in the CAV and from February 22 to 27 in Navarra.

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Source: EITB

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