The members of the six lists who choose to chair the Andalusian government are preparing to start the campaign. According to CIS data, the PP would win the majority but would need support to rule; the most likely scenario is that of the PP-Vox pact, although Moreno has clear red lines.
Euskaraz irakurri: Galderak nagusi gauerdian Andaluziako hauteskunde kanpaina hasteko atarian
This midnight, the election campaign in Andalusia for the June 19 elections will begin with six candidatures from which the next Autonomous Executive will emerge. To be multiple questions open, such as the effect of the national situation in the elections, the impact of the economic crisis, or where the votes of those who abstained in 2018 or those who voted for Ciudadanos – whose collapse is suspected – will disappear .
All polls coincide in the award of a large majority to the chairman of the board of directors and the candidate of the pp, Juanma Moreno. In fact, according to poll published this afternoon by the CIS (Center for Sociological Research) de PP would occupy between 47 and 49 seats out of a total of 109 of the Andalusian Parliament, with what it takes to vox, What would I achieve between 17 and 21, to reach the center of the hemisphere. Together they would win between 64 and 70 seats.
The left, adding the PSOE (32-36), Por Andalucía (9-10) and Adelante Andalucía (2) would give them between 43 and 48 seats, insufficient to rule.
citizens it would go from 21 seats to 1 to 3 seats and the citizen platform Jaén Deserves More could get a seat.
The most foreseeable scenario, and following in the footsteps of the pact in Castilla y León, is that of a necessary PP-Vox-pact to gain an absolute majority in parliament, something Moreno is trying to avoid by even appealing to the disenchanted Socialist vote. The popular does not rule out a repeat of the election if there are “priceless” requests from Vox and he has already flagged it “red lines”: the Statute of Autonomy and no “steps back” in gender violence or in the fight against climate change. The arrival of Alberto Nuñez Feijóo to the general secretariat of the PP will also have an impact.
The PSOE Juan Espadas will try to win back the 400,000 votes lost with Susana Díaz, although the polls show no signs of recovery, with a PSOE stuck in the same run of seats it now holds.
One of the keys will be the result of vox with Macarena Olona at the helm and see if there will be an “Olona effect”, which will encourage a sector of citizens to vote for Vox, or if there will be fears of his joining the regional government, which would have two derivatives have: the awakening of the abstention vote of the left, but also to deviate into the PP part of that “useful voice” who thinks it is better for Moreno to rule alone.
The polls predict the collapse of citizens, whose 21 seats all parties want to win. In principle, it seems that almost all these seats would go to the PP, where they came from almost four years ago, but socialist voters and part of the bourgeoisie disenchanted with the two major parties are also expected to be sent to Vox .
The left comes in elections, after splits and subsequent regroupings, in two main lists: that of the coalition By Andalusia, led by Inmaculada Nieto (IU), and shares a list with Podemos and Más País, though the purple formation is officially out because they were late for registration. Moreover, the electorate will find itself with the vote Forward Andalusia, with Teresa Rodríguez at the helm (former leader of Podemos).
Heads of the list of Andalusian candidatures. EFE
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Source: EITB
I’m Wayne Wickman, a professional journalist and author for Today Times Live. My specialty is covering global news and current events, offering readers a unique perspective on the world’s most pressing issues. I’m passionate about storytelling and helping people stay informed on the goings-on of our planet.
