Filzmaier Analyzed – Election Day is Payday: The Greens on Trial


Election day is payday. At the next National Council election – scheduled for 2024 – the Greens will be judged as crisis managers – and rewarded or punished for doing so. Because together with the Ministry of Health and Energy, they keep the most important departments in the government for combating the corona pandemic and the impending shortage of gas, heating and electricity.

1. Good crisis communication is important in healthcare and energy policy. What matters is that political decisions are implemented in the best possible way in the event of major threats and that your own image is not damaged. Here, the mid-term balance of the green health ministers is a disaster.

2. Minister of Health was and is not subject to entertainment tax during the Corona period. But a suicide mission in which criminal idiots threaten politicians and their families. But, from Rudolf Anschober to Wolfgang Mückstein to Johannes Rauch, all Greens have done little anyway. In the jungle of political intrigue, they stumbled over their ministry as a chaos organization, over violations by the coalition partner and the states and about ongoing conflicts with civilian protests and business interests.

3. Good government policy by the Greens in the long turmoil surrounding lockdown and mandatory vaccination would have meant that all this would have happened much less often. In addition, there was tragicomic laughter on the media stage: Mückstein, for example, ran out of juice from his car, so he could only announce the decision of the state governors to oblige them to be vaccinated. He also contradicted himself with one of these people in simultaneous press conferences whether there would be a lockdown and where and for whom it would apply.

4. In July, we initially did not hear from Minister Rauch about lifting almost all corona measures, but without him from the newspaper. How should we trust the crisis management and communication of green ministers? Those now face their biggest test: in the fall and winter, the question is whether people can afford to heat and turn on the electricity.

5. Therefore, the future of the Greens depends on Leonore Gewessler. Kogler is a supporting actor because she is “Federal Minister for Climate Protection, Environment, Energy, Mobility, Innovation and Technology”, meaning that almost all threads of the energy crisis converge in her ministry. Or we are, as it were, freezing cold in the dark after Christmas. Even more price hikes and economic problems included. Or Gewessler proves herself and becomes a front woman.

6. It could be that Kogler is history whether he already knows and wants to or not. The other parties must adapt to Gewessler as a top candidate. It still has a huge advantage with Green voters because the main topic is the environment – ​​and is not involved in discussions about whether the Greens, as the former control party, are covering up their ruling partner ÖVP despite the chat scandal.

7. Since the red line of the supposedly so morally strict Greens is only criminal law. Only in case of convictions will the coalition come to an end, otherwise the Greens make no moral claims. Because they like to rule, and with the weakened ÖVP in barter and horse-trading, they push forward all the more of their own political projects. They see that as a track record.

8. But the Greens do not care about such accusations. Why not? When they were kicked out of the National Council in 2017, Sigrid Maurer – today the party’s club leader in parliament – gave the finger with a champagne glass in his hand. Not just anyone, but the guys on social media who sometimes insult and insult them in the most disgusting way. But as an experienced politician, she had to be aware of the symbolic power and lifelong effect of such an image.

9. Today, Maurer & Co. remember to raise the middle finger to their critics. In polls, they have about ten percent of the vote. This is below the record value of the last election, but would be kissed on the hand as a result. In the upcoming state elections, the Greens are more likely to gain ground than fall because of the weakness of the ÖVP.

10. Moreover, the biggest naysayers are the ones that the party can strategically ignore left or right because they have long lost their way there anyway. On the one hand sympathizers of the FPÖ, who never vote green anyway, on the other hand loyal to Peter Pilz. So far, however, the Greens have been able to prevent the very large exodus of voters.

Source: Krone


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