A Supercomputer predicts the Premier’s final classification and provides devastating data

The Premier League 2023-24 It hasn’t started yet, but according to predictions it can be considered doomed. The Supercomputer of opt has simulated more than 10,000 times what will be the final standings of the English league this season and not only provides City of Manchester as the clear winner (with a probability of 90.2 percent) but also unopposed.

In the simulations, only 9 teams were capable of dethroning them Pep Guardiolabut because of the percentages, only three have pyrrhic choices: the Arsenalwith 4.1%, the Liverpoolwith 3.5%, and the Manchester Utdwith 1.7%. newcastle (0.22%), Chelsea (0.13%), Brighton (0.08%), astonville (0.04%), Tottenham (0.01%) and Brentford (0.01%) would say they would need more than a miracle.

If the predictions come true, it will be the first time a team has won the first division of English football in four consecutive seasons. To get an idea of ​​the brutal percentage, in the big leagues of Europe the next most obvious candidate for the throne is Bayern Munich, with a 69.3 percent chance of winning the Bundesliga. Demolition Man.

The Champions zone and the Europa League, with surprises

With the title so clear for Manchester City, other interesting matches are coming, such as having a place in the Champions League. The one with the most options, without counting the ‘Citizens’, is Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, who in the simulations managed to qualify 79.9% of the time. He also ranks second with 33.6%. Liverpool (by 76.8%) and Manchester United (by 63.2%) will complete the four places for the leading European club tournament.

Clubs like Newcastle will be left out, which this season qualified for the Champions League after many years after being captured by Mohammed bin Salmancrown prince of Saudi Arabiaor the American tycoon’s Chelsea Todd Boehley. The Magpies will at least get into the Europa League (with a 15.2% chance) while Mauricio Pochettino’s team will have to try to reach Europe via FA Cupwhich gives others access to EL, or to Carabao Cup (in the case of the Conference). Brighton, Tottenham, Aston Villa or Brentford, in that order, also have serious options in this ‘euro fight’.

Luton, sentenced and the other places of relegation

No one is surprised to find that the Supercomputer gives very few options to the mediocre cooked to achieve permanence. In 10,000 simulations he finished in last place a remarkable 28.1% of the time and in the relegation zone 62.3% of the time. Nothing out of the ordinary for a recently promoted player and the club’s fans were also left with “pride” that according to the projection they will finish with 34 points, more than southampton25, and the leeds31, last season.

He Sheffield Unitedalso recently promoted, with 49%, and the bournemouth, with 48.9%, are the other two clubs relegated by the Opta Supercomputer. We’ll see if Andoni Iraola can pull off another miracle like he did with Rayo Vallecano. Everton (34%), Nottingham Forest (33.8%) and Burnley (33.2%) also have serious numbers fearing the worst.

This will be the classification of the Premier League 23-24

1. Manchester City – 88.81 average points
2. Arsenal – 72.23
3. Liverpool – 71.47
4. Manchester United – 68.49
5. Newcastle United – 61.23
6. Chelsea – 58.90
7. Brighton & Hove Albion – 57.51
8. Tottenham Hotspur – 56.20
9. Aston Villa – 55.38
10. Brentford-53.20
11. West Ham United – 51.45
12. Crystal Palace – 47.40
13. Fulham – 46.18
14. Wolverhampton Wanderers – 43.45
15. Burnley-39.39
16. Nottingham Forest – 39.34
17. Everton – 39.14
18. Bournemouth-36.52
19. Sheffield United – 36.26
20. Town of Luton – 34.19

OPT

How does the Supercomputer calculation model work?

– Opta’s league prediction model estimates teams’ chances of finishing in each position in the competition. You can predict the probability of success next season, be it for relegation or for title choices.

– The model estimates the probability of the outcome of each match (win, draw, loss) using data from the betting market and Opta Power Rankings. Bets and rankings are based on each team’s historical and recent performances.

– The model considers the potential of rivals using these outcome probabilities and simulates the following competition clashes thousands of times. By analyzing the result of each of these simulations, the model can see how many times teams finish in each league position to create final predictions.