Unclear cause – Corona: case numbers and hospital use are increasing

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The slight increase in reported corona infections in Austria over the past two weeks has already led to a slight increase in hospital occupancy. This trend in hospitals is likely to continue according to Wednesday’s Covid forecast. In two weeks, the model computers expect more than 1,000 infected people in normal wards. However, it is not yet entirely clear what is causing the increase in new infections.

“The available parameters of the reported number of cases show increasing rates in all age groups,” emphasized the experts from Vienna University of Technology, MedUni Vienna and Gesundheit Österreich GmbH (GÖG) in their weekly update. There is an increase in the age group of five to fourteen years in particular. While the seven-day incidence increased from about 330 to 410 cases within a week, there was an increase of about 300 to 500 cases per 100,000 population in the school age group.

Effluent data confirms no increase
However, the available wastewater data up to and including 15 September do not confirm this upward trend, it was explained. It is still unclear to what extent the increase in the number of cases can be attributed to a change in testing behaviour, the end of the holiday or epidemiological reasons.

According to the forecast, the number of hospitals will develop to the level of the end of August. On October 5, 737 to 1,445 SARS-CoV-2 infected people are expected in normal wards across Austria, with an average of 1,032 people affected. The occupancy rate of the intensive care unit could remain approximately stable. In two weeks, 51 to 87 (average 67) are expected to be seriously ill from Covid.

Source: Krone

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