Early prospects point to a Republican victory that will curb the president’s agenda and even bring aid to Ukraine
If the inexorable date of history is fulfilled with the polls, at least the party in power today has lost control of the House of Representatives. On January 3, when the lawmakers of this election are sworn in, Kevin McCarthy will have a new job and be able to “hit Nancy Pelosi in the head” with the hammer, as he said at a rally last summer, in front of an estranged turned the sentence into a prophecy on the head of the veteran Democratic politician’s husband.
I had it easy. Every time a president with less than 50% popularity runs in the midterm elections, voters punish his party by withdrawing their confidence. Biden has less than 40%. If you always pay a price for campaigning in verse and ruling in prose, the energy crisis resulting from the invasion of Ukraine and the inflationary pressures that left the pandemic’s productive lull were the recipe to piss off the electorate.
The Democratic Party started off with bad cards, as the 2020 election gave it its narrowest majority in the past 90 years. The opposition only needed a net gain of five seats to take the job of the Speaker of Congress. The reclassification of constituencies made it easy to get new seats even in states like California.
The only doubt the pundits had yesterday is whether the new Republican majority will be more or less than 15 seats, which is the margin that would allow the new leader of the House of Commons to rule comfortably without having to take the extremists from his party. accommodate. Cook Political Report analyst David Weisseman estimated that when the count is over, the Conservative advantage will be between 15 and 30 seats.
It’s time for revenge, Donald Trump’s favorite dish. Republican lawmakers will try to please him in these two years missing from the presidential. With the chairmanship of the committees in his charge, the investigations into the January 6 uprising or any other insurgency that puts the former president in a difficult position are over.
On the contrary, the Republicans want to pay with the same coin. Biden can expect investigations into his son Hunter Biden’s dealings in China, the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan and even Biden Jr.’s role. in Ukraine. Taken to the extreme, there is impeachment, the success of which will depend on the hands in which the Senate is left. Trump suffered two political trials that failed because his party was behind him in the Senate.
If the Republican margin of victory is tight, McCarthy will have to make concessions to the Freedom Caucus, which involves characters like Congressman Jim Jordan, who, according to history of phone calls, spoke to President Trump for ten minutes on the morning of January 6, 2021, shortly before the attack. took place at the Capitol. Jordan defended that then-Vice President Mike Pence had the legal authority to block the certification of the election results that gave Biden the win.
Another face to see is Kentucky politician James Comer, whose name is being considered for the Committee on Oversight and Reform. Under his gaze, the new Congress would not only hinder Biden’s agenda, but even threaten to undo some of his major achievements, such as the infrastructure bill or the inflation bill, which fund investment in the country. Food is a “Chinese centrist” who wants to bill the Asian giant for unleashing the pandemic and asks to withdraw money from the World Health Organization for its role in the crisis.
The most feared figure is Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, who was kicked out of the committee by Democrats for spreading inflammatory comments and conspiracy theories. From her came the idea that the Parkland High School shooting was “a setup” to justify a new gun control campaign by the Democrats. Greene deleted several videos he posted to Facebook in which he accused Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi of “committing treason” and then asking for “the death penalty” for her.
Even before he knows what role he will play in the new Congress, Greene has promised that with his party in power, “Ukraine won’t see a dime of America.” The time has come, he said, for Europeans to “put their shoulders to the wheel”. McCarthy, who everyone sees as the next speaker in Congress, isn’t that radical, but he has already said that US aid to Zelensky’s government is not a “blank check.”
In this vendetta, Greene and her Freedom Caucus supporters will demand that what has been done to her be applied to the most prominent congresswomen of the Democratic Party’s left wing: Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The three successfully renewed their mandates in the polls on Tuesday, but over the next two years they will have to be more careful about criticizing “the atrocities” of Israel or their own in Afghanistan.
Two years of immobility await the United States that will benefit the Republican Party to wear out the image of President Biden, a candidate for re-election in what would be a real “re-match” of Biden against Trump, if both candidates live up to their expectations. intend to continue to represent their parties at the polls by 2024.
Source: La Verdad

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