Coronavirus in Spain: Maps and Recent Data on Epidemics and Their Evolution

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1) The weekly evolution of the epidemic

To see how the epidemic progresses, in the following diagram we show the evolution of new cases, the total capacity of hospitals and injecting departments each day, and the new mortality with COVID-19. To avoid days without reports of accidents and deaths, last week’s average is shown.

To avoid data delays, the figures are calculated by the date of the notification, i.e. the number of cases and deaths that the Autonomous Communities report to the Ministry of Health on a daily basis. For the Covid Clinic Health Status Indicators in Hospitals, data are not available until August 2020 as healthcare began to include this data in the daily reports of that date.

2) The current situation regarding the pre-vaccination peak

The advent of vaccines has reduced the severity of coronavirus in all waves after mass inoculation. The following graph shows the evolution of the incidence rate in 14 days, a percentage of hospital occupancy and injection ward occupancy compared to the worst moment recorded before March 2021, when mass vaccination of the population began.

In most cases, this peak corresponds to the worst moment of the third wave (from January to February 2021), but in some cases the moment of highest incident and health saturation was observed in the second wave of the pandemic. If the percentage is 100%, the worst moment of this rate of waves before vaccination is equalized.

3) Cumulative case in 14 days according to topics

Which autonomous communities are most affected by the pandemic at this time? The following map shows the cumulative incident (AI) day in each community. This is the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the last 14 days in relation to the population of each area. Click to view detailed data (Total Cases, Cumulative Cases, and Deaths, for a total population of 100,000).

4) What is the trend?

The table below includes the complete data (accumulated since the onset of the pandemic), the last day reported cases (which are not only diagnosed that day, but also the total incidence compared to the previous day) and AI. It is also helpful to know what the trend is in each community.

We calculated the number of cases detected in the last 14 days per 100,000 population compared to those diagnosed in the previous 14 days. In this way we can understand if cases are increasing, decreasing or remaining stable in each community.

5) Condition of care

Are the hospitals overcrowded? From August 20, the Ministry of Health will update the data on the state of health facilities in the hospitals of each community. This figure shows the impact of the disease on the health care system: the percentage and admissions and subscriptions of hospitals and ICU beds occupied by patients with Covid Clinic in the last 24 hours.

6) How many vaccines does each community have?

From January 5, Health Health has included in its daily updates (excluding weekends and holidays) the Covid-19 vaccination data report in Spain.

The following table shows the status of the vaccination process in each of the autonomous communities in Spain. Percentage of fully vaccinated population, percentage of population with at least one dose of vaccine, proportion already having booster dose, and number of injectable doses shown.

7) The evolution of new everyday cases

How many cases have been identified now and how many were found at the beginning of the epidemic? The diagram below compares the number of new daily cases according to the date of diagnosis from 1 February. To avoid detection peaks on a particular day, the average of both indicators, including the last 7 days, was also calculated. In addition, the Charles III Institute (ISCIII) in its series contains data on hospitalization, ICU recipients, and death. You can see the evolution and details of each variable by clicking on the buttons on the following graph.

Last week’s figures can be estimated, as many of the cases diagnosed during this period may not have been sent to communities by the Ministry of Health. This delay is most noticeable in reports of hospitalization, ICU admission, and death.

8) Frequency of infections by age

The difference in the frequency of infections in each age group is a key indicator, especially as vaccination progresses and the most vulnerable are protected. The following graph shows the evolution of cases per capita in 14 days for each ten-year group in Spain since the beginning of the year.

That is, it indicates in which age group the cases have increased or decreased in recent months.

9) Incidence and death curve in each community

Records from the Ministry of Health indicate that the peak of the first wave of cases was recorded on Sunday, March 23rd. On the other hand, autumn blasts and waves did not arrive in all communities at once. The third wave, which started before the second wave curve, came in early December and peaked in mid-January, after the Christmas holidays.

The chart below shows the number of people diagnosed with COVID-19 by each autonomous community test, as well as the number of hospital admissions, ICUs, and virus-affected people by date of death. . Data is shown as the average daily rate for the past week. Also included is the percentage of last week’s figures against the maximum (peak) reached by each community.

As in the previous diagram, the data for the last few days may not be estimated.

10) Hospital cases and occupation by provinces

To see how well a pandemic is controlled and possible outbreaks identified, the following map shows the key variables to show the epidemic situation in each province: the incidence or decline (trend) and the incidence per capita in the last two. Sunday (AI 14 days). To show the death toll from the impact of the third wave, the total number of casualties and the hospital occupation of each area are also shown. You can see each variable and its details by clicking the buttons.

These data are published by the Charles III Institute of Health (ISCIII) through the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network (RENAVE) and Performed on the date of diagnosis or, in its absence, on the date of onset of symptoms or application. As in the previous diagram, the data for the last few days may not have been evaluated by the communities due to the delay in case notifications.

11) Confirmed mortality in the last week

The following table shows the total number of deaths by Covid-19 and the number of deaths recorded in the last week. We have calculated the death toll per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 7 days. Mortality rates include only those who died with a positive analytical test. In other words, those who died with Covid-19 who died without a positive test are not included, and it should be noted that last week’s mortality has significant delays.

12) Frequency of the virus in each community

To determine the degree of penetration of the virus compared to the population, we calculated the confirmed incidence rate and the number of deaths per 100,000 population in each region. Confirmed cases refer to cases detected by PCR, antigen or antibody tests – the latter being considered compatible symptoms only after 11 May.

13) Evolution of the positive

Tracking the number of tests with a positive result (positivity) relative to their percentage is an indicator of diagnostic effort in detecting new cases. When positivity is low, the risk of a significant number of infected being not detected by the health care system remains low and, therefore, the calculated frequency is reliable. On the other hand, if the positive is high, the frequency may not be estimated. The following graph shows the latest rate of positivity in each autonomous community and the change compared to the previous week.

Some hints about the data

Due to the consistent changes in the form of data notification in the reports of the Ministry of Health, it is convenient to consider several keys:

As of May 18, 2020, the Ministry of Health has not announced the number of recoveries.

Also from that day on, Health ceased to include cases detected by antibody tests in its reports. Thus, common cases are among the cases identified by PCR test.

On Monday, May 25, 2020, the daily updates of the Ministry of Health changed again. The change is due to the introduction of a new pandemic diagnosis, surveillance and control strategy on 11 May 2020, which requires autonomous communities to report cases to the Ministry separately.

As a result of this modification, the report warns that there may be “differences with respect to common instances of previous messages.” “This discrepancy can last for several days.”

On August 19, 2020, the Ministry of Health began to include new data in its daily reports: the number of PCR tests performed in each community (previously this information was sent to the weekly report).

The next day, August 20, 2020, Health added a new information panel in its daily updates, “Hospital Health Capacity and COVID-19 Activity Status” divided by Autonomous Community. This panel includes data on the total number of patients admitted to COVID-19 and the percentage of hospital beds in the ICU, the number of people admitted to COVID-19 in the last 24 hours, and the number of subscriptions. Healthcare did not provide data on recoveries after May 18 (150,376 in total).

Source: El Diario

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