Peak 2030 – Vienna: Population growth slows down

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Vienna continues to grow steadily, but will be relatively moderate in the coming years. According to the current forecast, the values ​​of the past decades will in any case no longer be reached. Since the 1990s, the federal capital has gained 500,000 inhabitants. Over the next thirty years, that is, until 2053, the curve will flatten. Vienna is expected to grow by approximately 300,000 inhabitants during this period.

Only recently did the Danube metropolis exceed the two million inhabitants mark. According to the latest calculations, this will be considerably higher in 2053. As the head of the Vienna State Statistics (MA 23), Ramon Bauer, announced, the population should then reach 2,292,000.

The highest level from 1910 has been reached
The previous all-time record will be tied sooner. It should be ready by 2030. The peak dates back to 1910. At that time, 2,083,630 people lived in the federal capital.

Although immigration gains from foreign-born people are still forecast for the coming years, they will be lower under the MA 23 assumption. The share of foreign-born Viennese will continue to rise in 2053 compared to 2023 (39.3 percent), namely to 44.2 percent. The positive birth balance – which has been recorded since 2004 – will also contribute to growth.

Life expectancy is increasing, but so is the number of births
Because Vienna has a relatively young age structure, the 1950s birth peak rate could even be exceeded in the early 1950s. According to the forecast, life expectancy is also likely to continue to increase. In 30 years this will probably have risen to 85.2 years for women and 81.7 years for men. This corresponds to an increase of three to four years compared to 2022, it is said.

According to state statistics, this is also one of the reasons why the Viennese population will become slightly older demographically. At the same time, the share of the working-age population is likely to decline.

Leader Donaustadt, city center loses
Vienna will mainly grow where there is space: in the city districts. According to the forecast, they will win strongly in some cases. The city on the Danube is seen as a leader here. In 2043, that is, in the next twenty years, 46 percent more people will live there. But from a purely statistical point of view there are also losers: the population in the city center and in Josefstadt will shrink.

Source: Krone

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