Although the corona figures are rising much earlier than the government had expected, the Minister of Health does not yet see a need for countermeasures. With the usual delay, the wave of infection is also slowly arriving at the local hospitals. According to experts, the number of Covid patients there will triple in the next two weeks.
The Covid forecast consortium assumes that the increasing number of corona infections will soon make itself felt in hospitals. In their current assessment, the intensive care units (ICU) experts expect twice as many hospitalized patients with Covid patients to be admitted by early July than now.
Further increase probably unavoidable
The number of infections will continue to rise in the coming days. Due to the increasing dominance of the omicron subvariants BA.4/BA.5, which are more infectious than BA.2, “accelerated dynamics” can be expected, the consortium states. In concrete terms, this means that by next Wednesday (June 29) up to 17,000 new infections can be expected daily.
The point estimate calculated by the consortium – ie the expected value – is 13,170. The seven-day incidence is likely to rise again to more than 1,000 new cases per 100,000 population. The experts give a value between 820 and 1,350 with a point estimate of 1027 as the bandwidth. By comparison, recently, with 7,281 officially confirmed infections with SARS-CoV-2, the seven-day incidence was 478.1 (Tuesday, June 21 figures).
Many incidental findings
According to the forecast consortium, the BA.4/BA.5 sub-variants were responsible for more than 70 percent of all infections in Vienna and Salzburg last week. “It should be noted that, especially since the omicron variant has become dominant, there has been an increasing number of incidental findings in the hospital where the primary cause of hospitalization is not Covid-19,” the experts emphasize.
Source: Krone

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