The excitement was great when it became known that the asteroid “2024 JR4” discovered in December on the possible puke course with the earth. The European Space Authority of ESA now classifies him to first place in the asteroid threats and lets him know how likely an impact actually is.
The “Asteroid 2024 JR4” appeared on December 27 last year in a telescope of the Asteroid Warning System (Atlas) in Río Hurtado (Chile). The object probably has a diameter between 40 and 100 meters – and according to calculations it is possible that it will hit the ground on December 22, 2032.
Stroke can have serious consequences
According to the ESA, an object of this size only takes place every few thousand years. Under unfavorable circumstances, such an impact can cause a considerable, regional destruction. The calculations of the ESA, which yesterday completed the 17th European space conference in Brussels in Brussels, would match that of the American Room Trip Authority Nasa.
The now calculated chance of about 1.2 percent is “one of the highest likely for an impact of a rock that broke over considerable size,” wrote David Rankin from the telescopic system Catalina Sky Survey about Bluesky with a view to the data that is Collected that have been collected, only a small period of the history of the earth.
The calculated probability can still change
It was said from the ESA that the calculated probability of a still distant asteroid often fell to zero after further observations. The asteroid is currently approximately 27 million kilometers from the earth. It is classified on 3 on the so -burnt turin scale.
This means that it is a closer approach to a celestial body to the earth that requires the attention of astronomers. If the chance of an impact is at least one percent, the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) switches on and collects data.
ESA: “No reason to worry”
If “2024 JR4” actually hit the earth, it could explode in the atmosphere and cause damage with a pressure wave and heat, as it was said. It can also cause a crater with a diameter of more than one kilometer. “2024 JR4” is not so -driven “planet -murderer” who could erase life on earth, the head of asteroid defense at ESA, Richard Moissl, was quoted in “Munich Mercury”. “It’s no reason to worry,” said the scientist. “We assume that it will be a nearby or very close flight.”
According to ESA, the asteroid will first remove his elongated track around the sun in the coming months and disappear from the field of vision. He could only be again observed in 2028.
Source: Krone
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