According to the forecast consortium, the increase in the number of corona infections will continue for the next seven days, but be lower than in previous weeks. The attenuation can be explained by changes in contact and testing behavior since the start of the school holidays in the east, which the model calculators summarize as the “holiday effect”. On July 13, a seven-day incidence of 1,100 cases per 100,000 population (average) is expected. The value is currently around 800 cases.
The lowest incidence is predicted in Carinthia (620 to 1000 cases), the highest in Vienna (1400 to 2200). The clearest flattening of the infection curves has been observed in recent days, especially in the age group of five to 14-year-olds and especially in the states of Vienna and Lower Austria, the researchers reported in their weekly forecast on behalf of the Ministry of Health.
“Holiday effect”: schools closed, less professional and leisure contacts
The effects summarized as the “holiday effect” include school closures and increased vacation-related absences from work and reduced leisure time contacts. “Even a lower test readiness cannot be ruled out,” says Wednesday’s update.
Hospital numbers rise sharply
The forecast for hospital occupancy, which extends two weeks into the future, assumes a significant increase from 926 patients on Tuesday to an average of 1650 patients on 20 July. In the intensive care units, the numbers can roughly double from 56 to 75 to 129 seriously ill (average: 98).
Source: Krone
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
