The Covid forecast consortium expects a further slight increase in the number of corona patients in hospitals. The end of the quarantine next Monday will also affect testing behavior over the forecast period. We therefore continue to assume that the reported case numbers do not accurately reflect infection dynamics, the experts write in their four-week prognosis. Nearly 1,600 normal patients are expected in two weeks.
The experts from the Vienna University of Technology, MedUni Vienna and Gesundheit Österreich GmbH (GÖG) expect a slight decrease in the number of reported new infections in the next two weeks and a moderate increase in hospital occupancy, which, however, will decrease slightly in two weeks. A week ago, the prognosis for hospitals was significantly higher.
only slightly increase
For next Wednesday (August 3) 1408 to 1855 Covid patients are expected in the normal wards, over two weeks (August 10) between 1265 and 2020 1598 was given as point estimate. On Tuesday, 1,604 Covid patients had to be treated in normal wards and another 93 in intensive care units (ICU). According to the experts’ calculations, 85 to 117 seriously ill people should be in the ICU next Wednesday, and then 79 to 129 in 14 days, distinguishing people who were originally hospitalized for another diagnosis.
Many incidental findings
The scientists emphasized that the reported seven-day number of cases decreased in all states, while the surface area in the normal wards increased in all states. Due to the high number of incidental findings in the hospitalizations, it cannot be assumed that a delay between case reports and admissions can explain this discrepancy, the experts wrote. The ratio between the number of cases and the hospital occupancy has risen by about 85 percent in recent weeks.
More than 13,000 new infections next Wednesday?
As for the number of infections, the consortium expects up to 13,902 new infections next Wednesday. For this Wednesday, the experts had even counted up to 19,500 new infections. On Tuesday, 9213 new cases were last registered. The seven-day incidence should be between 658 and 1,084 cases per 100,000 population by August 3. The lowest incidence is expected in Vorarlberg with 420 to 690, the highest incidence in Vienna with 970 to 1600.
Source: Krone
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
