The jeltzale formation would win in the General Assemblies of Álava, Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa; EH Bildu would grow in the three areas; PSE-EE would decrease slightly and Elkarrekin and PP would continue to die.
He PNV would retain Euskadi’s three provincial councils after the elections of May 28 if the current pacts are reissued and would strengthen their majorities in the three historic areas, also achieving an absolute majority in Bizkaia for the first time, according to EITB Focus, the most comprehensive survey ever conducted in the Basque Country . For its part, EH Bildu would also grow and consolidate its second position, moving away from the PSE-EE.
This special edition of the macro survey EITB Focus reaches only two months of municipal and municipal elections, in which the citizens elect their representatives in the General Assemblies and the town halls, which in turn appoint deputies and mayors.
In total there have been more than 6,600 telephone surveys in the three territories of the Basque Autonomous Community, which allowed the X-ray to be prepared
more accurate about the election campaign.
PDF: EITB FOCUS, General Meetings, full overview
PDF: EITB FOCUS, Parliament of Navarre, full review
In that sense, according to EITB Focus, the polls will draw a Euskadi that would strengthen the PNV’s institutional majority and support a “Basque two-party system” between the jeltzale formation and EH Bildu, two emerging political forces that would see their support grow . both in the number of junteros and in percentage of the vote, to the detriment of the rest of the political forces.
For its part, the PSE-EE would lose some votes in the three areas, but without a significant loss of proxies (it would lose one in Álava and remain in Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa), while Elkarrekin, a coalition consisting of Podemos Euskadi, Ezker Anitza-IU, Berdeak Equo and Alianza Verdewould suffer severe wear and tear, even losing half of its representatives in Gipuzkoa.
The PP, for its part, would continue without recovering and blame the outburst for it voxthat while it would receive no representation in any formal institution, it would be on the verge of securing a seat in the General Assemblies of Álava.
By area, the most notable novelty would occur in Biscaywhere the PNV would win an absolute majority for the first time with 26 representatives, one more than in 2019. EH Bildu, which would also grow, would come second with 12, two more.
The nearest dispute would take place in Gipuzkoa, although the jeltzale formation would manage to maintain the same distance it obtained four years ago from the nationalist coalition, which would also gain more seats and votes.
In Álava, on the other hand, would give the PNV better results and Ramiro González, the only current general deputy to run for re-election, would be approaching his third term.
Tomorrow the congregation
Tomorrow, Tuesday, the media of the EITB Group will publish the third part of the EITB Focus macro survey with data on voting intentions for the municipal elections.
In particular, predictions will be made for Bilbao, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Donostia-San Sebastián, Pamplona/Iruña, Llodio/Laudio, Salvatierra/Agurain, Irun, Tolosa, Eibar, Barakaldo, Getxo and Basauri.
Methodology
6,649 people living in the BAC were interviewed in preparation for the special edition of EITB Focus on the municipal and regional elections on May 28 (1,543 in Álava, 2,483 in Bizkaia and 2,623 in Gipuzkoa). In Navarre, 1,204 people participated.
Random sample stratified by historical territory, description, municipality, gender and age.
The fieldwork was carried out from February 27 to March 17 in the CAV and from February 22 to 27 in Navarra.
For more complete information on confidence level, margin of error, and other statistical aspects, please refer to the study’s PDF.
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Source: EITB
I am Ida Scott, a journalist and content author with a passion for uncovering the truth. I have been writing professionally for Today Times Live since 2020 and specialize in political news. My career began when I was just 17; I had already developed a knack for research and an eye for detail which made me stand out from my peers.
