draw on 29 seats between PNV and EH Bildu

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The Basque government’s survey predicts that both the PSE-EE and the PP will retain their representatives (10 and 6 respectively). The Sumar coalition would get one, at the expense of Elkarrekin Podemos, who, like Vox, would be left out of the Basque parliament.

Eider duck Garaikoetxea O. | EITB media

If the elections for the Basque parliament were to take place today, both PNV as EH Bildu would get the same number of representatives (29) in the House, according to the Sociometer of the Basque government published today. The technical tie would arise as a result of a strong rise of the sovereigntist coalition (+8) and a fall of the Yeltzales (they would lose two parliamentarians).

The voting intention survey, which was conducted between March 15 and 20 using 3,030 telephone interviews, also predicts that the PSE-EE would continue to exist as a third force, while retaining the 10 representatives you currently have. The left coalition Elkarrekin Podemos-Green Alliancefor his part suffered a great loss of support, because according to the Sociometer would not receive representation in the Basque Chamber – it gained six parliamentarians in 2020, when it competed with Ezker Anitza-IU and Equo. He PPOn the other hand, he would manage to keep his 6 seats and become the fourth force.

The poll on voting intentions predicts 1 parliamentarian for the coalition Addformed by the Sumar movement, Ezker Anitza-IU and Equo. VoxOn the other hand, it would remain that way out of the Basque Parliament.

EH Bildu and PNV would equalize the number of seats (9) per territory Alava, although the nationalist coalition would win in votes (31.6% compared to 29.7%). The study does not foresee any changes for the PSE-EE (4) or the PP (3). The Jeltzales would win Bizkaia (12, one less than four years ago), with EH Bildu close behind (9, +3). The Socialists would keep their three parliamentarians, something the… popular with the current 2. In Gipuzkoathe nationalist coalition would overtake the PNV, with 11 representatives (+2). The jeltzals would go down one (9). Both the PSE-EE and the PP would not change the results and would maintain their representation, with three and one MPs respectively. Sumar would reach its only representative in the territory of Guipuzco (Andeka Larrea).

The March Sociometer deviates slightly from the results predicted by EITB Focus. Both studies indicate a draw between PNV and EH Bildu, with almost identical results per area. The biggest difference would be in the estimated result for the different ones left-wing confluencesAccording to the Sociometer, only Sumar could benefit from the support of a parliamentarian, while according to EITB Focus it would be the coalition of Miren Gorrotxategi that would receive representation (2 parliamentarians), and Sumar outside parliament. The Sociometer predicts no changes for the PSE-EE, but the EITB Media survey would give the Socialists one extra seat (11, +1).

Source: EITB

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