According to a recent poll, a second round around the Hofburg is not to be expected: according to the poll, Federal President Alexander Van der Bellen can count on 59 percent of the vote. His FPÖ competitor Walter Rosenkranz has 13 percent, closely followed by Gerald Grosz (nine percent). Tassilo Wallentin, who fishes in a similar pool of voters, currently sits at eight percent. The musician and beer party boss Dominik Wlazny has risen from five to seven percent since August. According to the research, MFG boss Michael Brunner and shoe manufacturer Heinrich Staudinger will only play a minor role.
The Sunday Question – “Assuming the next presidential election is next Sunday, who would you vote for?” – was then only asked to those 62 percent (993 respondents) who definitely want to go to the polls (variation range 3.1 percent). ).
According to the estimate, 59 percent of those polled would vote for the incumbent Van der Bellen. In a comparable study, this was 66 percent. According to opinion pollster Peter Hajek, these losses were to be expected, “because the remaining field of participants was still vague in mid-August”.
van the bark has “all trumps in his hand”
His electorate is “very well mobilized” and is also very confident in their vote for Van der Bellen, while the competition is not. Moreover, the incumbent Federal President can build on the broad support of the SPÖ, ÖVP, Greens and NEOS voters: “From the current perspective, everything speaks for the incumbent, a second round seems unlikely – as long as there are no more surprises in the intensive election campaign. “
Second place is currently for FPÖ candidate Rosencrantz; as in August, this is 13 percent. “Walter Rosenkranz is currently unable to exploit the FPÖ’s potential, which is also due to the high competition in the right-wing camp,” says Gerald Grosz in particular, according to Hajek. In the study, Grosz was able to grow to nine percent. The advantages of Rosenkranz are that his electorate is well mobilized and, unlike his competitors, can count on the support of the party apparatus of the FPÖ. Grosz, on the other hand, has positioned itself well with a clear line and communication.
Former ‘Krone’ columnist and lawyer Tassilo Wallentin also received eight percent more approval in the survey than in August (six percent). Wallentin collects votes from the FPÖ, but also from the SPÖ and ÖVP. For Wallentin, a lot will depend on whether he can still score points in the intensive election campaign.
Wlazny alternative for young voters
The musician and beer party boss Dominik Wlazny managed to rise to seven percent. Hajek explained that Wlazny is the candidate of the young centre-left electorate. “Particularly SPÖ and NEOS voters who cannot get Van der Bellen warm will switch to Wlazny.” But his voters have yet to be mobilized.
MFG boss Michael Brunner and shoe manufacturer Heinrich Staudinger would only play a minor role in the election campaign.
*The investigation of „Unique research“ for the news magazine “profil” and the daily newspaper “Heute” took place by telephone and online between 7 and 15 September. First, 1600 Austrians aged 16 and over were asked what the chances are from the current perspective that they will vote on October 9. 62 percent stated they would “definitely” go to the polls (range of variation 2.5 percent).
Source: Krone
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